US-Iran Deal Triggers Rally in Asian Stocks | The China Show 6/15/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 15, 2026 at 06:07  |  1:32:45  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Jin Qianjing — Head of Global Asset Allocation and Chief Researcher, SWS Research
Ben Bennett — Asia Head of Investment Strategy, L&G
Alicia García-Herrero — Asia Pacific Economist, Natixis CIB
Robert Pape — Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago
Sara Vakhshouri — President, SVB Energy International
Anthony Stevens — Bloomberg Market Producer

Summary

Bloomberg's The China Show discusses the interim US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, triggering a broad risk-on rally across Asian equities and a sharp drop in oil prices. Guests analyze the implications for energy markets, central bank policy, and sector rotations, offering specific trade ideas in US Treasuries, Chinese computing power, Indonesian bonds, US tech, and Korean assets.

  • US and Iran announce an interim deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with a signing expected on Friday and 60-day negotiations to follow.
  • Oil prices drop sharply, with Brent nearing $80, while Asian equities rally 3%+ led by Japan, Korea, and emerging markets.
  • A packed central bank week includes the Fed, BOJ, Bank Indonesia, and BSP; markets reprice rate hike expectations after the deal.
  • SWS Research sees an end to war-risk premium and recommends buying US Treasuries at 4.5% yields.
  • The same analyst highlights a Chinese domestic computing-power trend driven by DeepSeek and Huawei as a second-half opportunity.
  • L&G is adding back to Indonesian bonds and expects a relief rally in bonds and the rupiah, while staying bullish on US tech on dips.
  • Natixis expects Korea and Japan to be the biggest winners from the peace deal and sees a strong rebound in the Korean won.
Ideas
Jin Qianjing Head of Global Asset Allocation and Chief Researcher, SWS Research 39:45
Buy US Treasuries on lower hike risk
The US-Iran interim deal eliminates the war risk premium and lowers the probability of Fed rate hikes to zero this year. At the current 4.5% level, US Treasury yields are attractive because corporate rates are high and duration risk is controllable. This makes US Treasuries a good buy.
Jin Qianjing Head of Global Asset Allocation and Chief Researcher, SWS Research 41:31
Chinese computing power stocks to outperform
The Chinese computing power trend is gaining momentum, driven by the combination of DeepSeek and Huawei chips and rising domestic capex. Investors should pay more attention to this space rather than just the big US AI names. New names in the Hong Kong market will also benefit from this trend.
Ben Bennett Asia Head of Investment Strategy, L&G 61:57
Buy Indonesia bonds and rupiah on relief
Indonesia has sold off significantly and will be among the biggest beneficiaries of an energy supply relief rally as the Strait of Hormuz reopens. The firm has been adding back to Indonesian bonds, expecting bond yields to fall and the currency to strengthen.
Ben Bennett Asia Head of Investment Strategy, L&G 64:12
Buy US tech on dip
After a tactical reduction, technology remains the firm's favorite sector based on strong Q1 earnings. With the Nasdaq down a few percent, they are looking to buy back into US tech on weakness, using the Iran deal headlines as a trigger.
Alicia García-Herrero Asia Pacific Economist, Natixis CIB 78:07
Korea and Japan are the big winners
If the US-Iran deal actually materialises, the most likely winning Asian economies will be Korea and Japan because they have good underlying macro fundamentals and will benefit the most from oil price relief.
Alicia García-Herrero Asia Pacific Economist, Natixis CIB 82:08
Korean won should appreciate sharply
South Korea runs a large current account surplus, yet the won is weak because of massive outflows into US stocks. A repricing of expensive IPOs or positive deal momentum could trigger a strong rebound in the won, which should be stronger based on macro fundamentals.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published June 15, 2026, features Jin Qianjing, Ben Bennett, Alicia García-Herrero discussing TLT, Chinese computing power sector, Indonesian government bonds, Indonesian rupiah, QQQ, EWJ, EWY, USD/KRW. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jin Qianjing, Ben Bennett, Alicia García-Herrero  · Tickers: TLT, Chinese computing power sector, Indonesian government bonds, Indonesian rupiah, QQQ, EWJ, EWY, USD/KRW