¿Quién va a pagar la DEUDA que han acumulado los GOBIERNOS?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 07, 2026 at 16:30  |  18:44  |  Pablo Gil
Speakers
Pablo Gil — Head of Research, 21Shares

Summary

Pablo Gil explains why high global public debt is becoming harder to finance and outlines the five ways governments can reduce excessive debt, emphasizing Ray Dalio's view that currency debasement and financial repression are the most likely route. He argues that savers must focus on real returns because cash, deposits, and nominal bonds lose purchasing power when inflation exceeds yields, while real assets may protect long term if not bought too expensively. The video concludes that debt never disappears; it transforms into a loss borne by some group.

  • The IMF projects global public debt will exceed 100% of GDP before the end of the decade.
  • Five debt-reduction paths are discussed: growth, spending cuts, tax hikes, restructuring/default, and inflation or monetization.
  • Financial repression is described as a silent tax on savings through negative real rates.
  • Inflation especially hurts cash, low-yield deposits, fixed-rate bonds, and pensions.
  • Some debtors and owners of real assets can benefit from inflation, while housing, food, and energy costs rise.
  • Investors should evaluate returns after inflation, taxes, and risk rather than focusing only on nominal yields.
  • Pablo Gil promotes his upcoming event 'Invertir en el mañana' on 17 October in Madrid.
Ideas
Pablo Gil Head of Research, 21Shares 9:04
Nominal bonds lose to inflation
Nominal fixed-rate bonds can offer an attractive coupon but still lose real value when inflation runs above the bond yield, and they can fall in price if markets demand higher interest rates; under financial repression, bondholders absorb part of the real loss.
Pablo Gil Head of Research, 21Shares 10:56
Deposits lose real purchasing power
Pablo Gil argues that financial repression acts as a silent tax on savings, and that cash and low-yielding deposits lose purchasing power when inflation exceeds the interest paid, such as a 3% deposit with 4% inflation losing real value before taxes.
Pablo Gil Head of Research, 21Shares 11:08
Real assets hedge long-term inflation
Real assets can benefit some owners during inflation and may protect purchasing power over the long term, but buying them too expensive can produce sharp corrections, so they are a qualified inflation hedge rather than an unconditional buy.
Up Next

This Pablo Gil video, published September 07, 2026, features Pablo Gil discussing Nominal government bonds, Cash and bank deposits, GLD. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Pablo Gil  · Tickers: Nominal government bonds, Cash and bank deposits, GLD