When CES 2026 Ends, the Game Flips: Stocks to Surge, Stocks to Plunge / Next Leading Stocks Move From Here | CEO Kim Min-su (Full Version)

CES2026 끝나면 판이 뒤집힌다 "주가급등 주식, 주가급락할 주식" / 다음 주도주 ‘여기’부터 움직인다 | 김민수 대표 (풀버전)
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 03, 2026 at 07:00  |  46:08  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Kim Min-soo — CEO

Summary

Kim Min-su, CEO of Lemon Research, discusses CES 2026 and the next market leadership. He expects AI to remain central but sees the next phase shifting toward money-making software, while physical AI, on-device AI, and vertical AI need more proof. He is cautious on the near-term robot trade, prefers Hyundai Motor and Hyundai AutoEver, and highlights defense, aerospace, and shipbuilding as rotation candidates after semiconductor leadership fades.

  • CES 2026 is expected to remain AI-centered, with software monetization as the key new focus.
  • Physical AI, on-device AI, and vertical AI are important long-term themes but still need concrete products or proof.
  • Robot value-chain names have largely priced in CES expectations, so the near-term risk/reward is less attractive.
  • Hyundai Motor offers Boston Dynamics and autonomous-driving optionality; Hyundai AutoEver is preferred as the software layer.
  • Korean defense has strong orders but needs a rotation away from semiconductors to move.
  • Aerospace and space momentum may persist on US Moon/Mars and government spending themes.
  • Shipbuilding is favored for 2026 margins, early-year orders, US LNG, and fleet replacement demand.
  • Specific standouts include Hanwha Aerospace, LIG Nex1, KAI, Hanwha Systems and Satrec Initiative, Hanwha Ocean, and Samsung Heavy Industries.
Ideas
Hyundai Motor offers robotics and autonomy optionality.
Hyundai Motor is the key listed way to play Boston Dynamics/Atlas and long-term autonomous driving ties with Waymo/Google. The stock is holding at support, but valuation needs concrete production plans and numbers beyond what is already known; if those appear, sentiment can improve.
AI money shifts to software.
AI hardware and capex-related names have already rallied, but the next phase focuses on B2C monetization and proof of AI profitability. CES 2026 should stay AI-centered, and the software layer that actually monetizes AI is the area that has not yet rallied; he wants to see concrete money-making software answers.
Physical AI has far to go.
CES 2026's first key theme is physical AI, covering robots, autonomous vehicles, and all moving machines. The long-term opportunity is large, but current robots mainly imitate learned motions and lack true learning or judgment, so progress in sensors and autonomous driving is needed.
True on-device AI market starts now.
Current on-device AI is mostly app-level editing and still depends on the cloud. True edge AI, with CPU/GPU/memory inside devices and AI PCs, is only starting; Nvidia's planned AI notebook and related memory demand are signs the theme is moving toward real products.
Vertical AI will crown sector-specific winners.
The final evolution is vertical AI: industry-specific models trained on large domain data and delivering results for finance, manufacturing, and other sectors. The key question is which domain-specific AI software winner emerges in each industry.
CES robot trade is already priced in.
Robot value-chain names have already priced in much of the CES and Boston Dynamics expectation, so trading CES itself is speculative. He advises not increasing robot exposure, trimming positions, and waiting for a new catalyst; a surprisingly concrete production plan could revive the group.
Hyundai AutoEver is preferred robot software play.
His preferred robot-related name is Hyundai AutoEver because the largest value should sit in the software layer that controls or operates Boston Dynamics robots, not in commoditized hardware exposed to China and Japan. He remains comfortable holding it, though a roughly KRW 10tn market cap may cap near-term upside.
Korean defense is a waiting rotation play.
Defense orders and fundamentals remain strong, but the sector has lagged because semiconductor supply has absorbed market attention. He sees a waiting or rotation setup: once Samsung Electronics and SK hynix earnings and semiconductor momentum pass, defense can move again, so investors should set positions and wait.
Hanwha Aerospace benefits from missile order cycle.
Hanwha Aerospace is a core beneficiary as missiles become central to modern warfare. Orders and earnings are both improving, while the stock trades around 20x P/E versus past 30x; confirmed order flow can pull forward earnings and support a valuation re-rating.
Space momentum will persist into 2026.
Aerospace and space is a 2026 theme as US political focus on Moon/Mars and Musk-related programs keeps government spending and momentum alive. Materials names moved first, but large defense and aerospace primes are the better expression of the next leg because they combine defense orders with space optionality.
KAI is a lagging government-backed aerospace play.
Korea Aerospace Industries is a lagging government-backed aerospace play with KF-21 and FA-50 order potential. The current government supports space and aerospace, and once orders attach, the stock can move strongly.
Hanwha Systems and Satrec are satellite pair.
Satellites and systems integration are increasingly important in defense and space. Hanwha Systems is the system-control and trading vehicle tied to Hanwha's satellite and defense work; Satrec Initiative adds satellite imagery analysis and data sales. He pairs them and treats Hanwha Systems as a buy-on-pullback, sell-on-spike trading stock rather than a buy-and-hold.
LIG Nex1 needs earnings confirmation before re-rating.
LIG Nex1 should benefit from strong 2026 missile demand, especially in Europe, but prior earnings disappointment has kept its valuation depressed. He wants to wait for first-quarter earnings and operating leverage confirmation before expecting the multiple to recover.
Shipbuilders offer double-digit margins and orders.
Shipbuilding should show double-digit margins in 2026, and orders delayed from late 2025 should be reflected from early next year. US LNG exports, strategic fleet needs, and aging tanker and LNG fleets support long-term order flow; he advises accumulating and waiting for orders to be recognized.
Hanwha Ocean has US naval, LNG edge.
Hanwha Ocean is somewhat expensive, but its differentiated edge is US naval exposure through Philly Shipyard and Austal, plus LNG carrier construction capability. If those order and performance catalysts materialize, it can receive naval and LNG value.
Samsung Heavy should reflect orders next year.
He still holds Samsung Heavy Industries and lifted his target to KRW 30,000, expecting orders to be reflected early next year and margins to improve. He does not want to sell despite the sideways move because order news should eventually be recognized.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 03, 2026, features Kim Min-soo discussing 005380.KS, IGV, Physical AI, AI-SECTOR, Vertical AI software, Korean robot value chain, 307950.KS, Korean defense sector, 012450.KS, Korean aerospace and space sector, 047810.KS, 272210.KS, 099320.KQ, 079550.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, 042660.KS, 010140.KS. 16 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Min-soo  · Tickers: 005380.KS, IGV, Physical AI, AI-SECTOR, Vertical AI software, Korean robot value chain, 307950.KS, Korean defense sector, 012450.KS, Korean aerospace and space sector, 047810.KS, 272210.KS, 099320.KQ, 079550.KS, Korean shipbuilding sector, 042660.KS, 010140.KS