Buzzberg Cup Bracket locked

AI Bubble? It hasn't even come halfway to the dot-com bubble surge. "Why Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix will ultimately be the winners" l CEO Kim Min-soo

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 24, 2026 at 07:00  |  22:55  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Kim Min-soo — CEO

Summary

CEO Kim Min-soo argues the AI-driven semiconductor cycle is still early, with memory supply extremely tight and pricing sticky. He advises buying Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix on any Micron-earnings-related dip, sees SK Hynix's ADR plan and SK Square's discount narrowing as powerful catalysts, and views Samsung's relative undervaluation as a catch-up opportunity. He also flags foundry-linked plays like Doosan Tesna and Hanmi Semiconductor as worth watching if Samsung wins significant orders.

  • The current AI cycle is compared to the dot-com era, where NASDAQ rose 560% from 1995–2000, while the current move is only about 130% — implying the cycle is still in its early innings.
  • Memory supply remains very tight: HBM demand cannibalizes standard DRAM capacity, LTA adoption is expanding, and even obsolete DDR2 is being repurposed to meet demand.
  • Micron earnings could cause a sell-the-news reaction in memory names; a pullback in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix is viewed as a buying opportunity.
  • SK Hynix's ADR listing is initially too small to spark revaluation; to achieve a rerating, the company may expand the float via buybacks, which would also narrow the NAV discount at holding company SK Square.
  • Samsung Electronics trades at a valuation discount to SK Hynix and has potential to catch up, though labor union issues remain a variable.
  • Samsung's foundry division is currently struggling, but confirmation of new orders would rapidly improve momentum and lift related test/packaging names like Doosan Tesna and Hanmi Semiconductor.
  • The speaker systematically separates short-term tactical entries from the structural bullish case for Korean memory leaders.
Ideas
Buy Korean memory on Micron-led dips.
SK Hynix is pursuing a Nasdaq ADR listing with a current size of only 2.5% of its market cap (~40 trillion won). This size is too small to trigger meaningful US index revaluation. To achieve a re-rating, SK Hynix will likely need to increase the ADR free float through asset buybacks, which would attract US flows and potentially create a 'Micron short / Hynix long' trade. Simultaneously, SK Square holds a 20% stake in SK Hynix and carries a historical NAV discount of ~50%, which would shrink as Hynix gets revalued. SK Square also has about 1 trillion won in cash and could do its own buybacks, narrowing the discount further. This gives SK Hynix a near-term momentum edge over Samsung and makes SK Square an indirect beneficiary.
Buy Korean memory on Micron-led dips.
The AI semiconductor cycle is still in its early stages. The NASDAQ in the dot-com era rallied 560%, while the current AI-driven move has only been about 130%. Memory supply is very tight due to HBM demand cannibalizing standard DRAM capacity, LTA (Long-Term Agreement) adoption rising from 50% to 70%+ ensuring price stability, and even legacy DDR2 being pulled from scrap to meet demand. There is no sign of oversupply, and historically the leading sector (semiconductors) rebounds fastest after pullbacks. This supports remaining long Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix as the primary beneficiaries.
Foundry order wins could boost Tesna, Hanmi.
Samsung's foundry business is currently underperforming, with low morale and order sluggishness. However, if external order wins are confirmed (e.g., from Google or NVIDIA), morale and earnings visibility would improve sharply. In that scenario, beaten-down related names such as test company Doosan Tesna and packaging company Hanmi Semiconductor would rally strongly together with design house stocks. This is a high-convexity event-driven setup worth monitoring closely.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published June 24, 2026, features Kim Min-soo discussing 000660.KS, 402340.KS, 005930.KS, 042700.KS. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Min-soo  · Tickers: 000660.KS, 402340.KS, 005930.KS, 042700.KS