Why Private Equity’s Playbook is Losing to Public Markets

Смотреть на YouTube ↗  |  16 августа 2026, 12:00  |  11:18  |  Bloomberg Markets
Спикеры
Steve Rattner — Генеральный директор, Willett Advisors
Steven Kaplan — Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Andrew Weinberg — Founder and CEO, Brightstar Capital Partners
Jason Tyler — President, Wealth Management, Northern Trust
Westin — Narrator
Bloomberg examines why private equity's long record of outperforming public markets has reversed since 2019 as higher interest rates make debt-financed buyouts harder and exits slower. Steven Rattner explains that higher rates push investors toward fixed income and raise private equity financing costs. Steven Kaplan says US buyout funds have lagged the S&P 500 since 2019 while 2020-21 vintage deals struggle to exit. Andrew Weinberg and Jason Tyler describe a tougher environment rewarding operational value-add managers and direct or co-investment structures. - Private equity promised outsized returns versus public markets but the case is now less straightforward. - Steven Rattner says higher rates favor fixed income and make debt-financed PE deals harder. - Steven Kaplan says US buyout funds beat public markets through 2018 but have underperformed since 2019. - 2020-2021 vintage PE deals are underperforming and exits are being delayed, depressing DPI. - PitchBook reports the PE-held company backlog has grown to more than 33,000. - Andrew Weinberg says post-2022 returns require operational value add and AI rather than leverage and multiple expansion. - Jason Tyler highlights investor shifts toward direct company investing and lower-fee co-investment structures.
Идеи
Steve Rattner Генеральный директор, Willett Advisors 3:06
Higher rates favor fixed income over equities.
Any time interest rates go up, the attraction of equities goes down because investors can earn higher fixed-income yields with less risk and volatility; investors will migrate toward fixed income.
Steve Rattner Генеральный директор, Willett Advisors 3:06
Higher rates favor fixed income over equities.
Any time interest rates go up, the attraction of equities goes down because investors can earn higher fixed-income yields with less risk and volatility; investors will migrate toward fixed income.
Steve Rattner Генеральный директор, Willett Advisors 3:27
Higher rates hurt debt-financed private equity.
The 2020 and 2021 private equity deals paid high prices and then got hit by interest-rate increases, leaving those deals underperforming and causing PE firms to delay selling, so realizations and DPI are low and limited partners are complaining.
Steven Kaplan Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business 5:15
Public markets now beat private equity.
US buyout funds largely beat public markets from the 1990s through 2018, but that pattern has reversed since 2019 as big tech pushed public-market returns higher and boom-era private equity prices made exits harder; the S&P 500 is the clean public benchmark.
Steven Kaplan Professor, University of Chicago Booth School of Business 5:15
Public markets now beat private equity.
US buyout funds largely beat public markets from the 1990s through 2018, but that pattern has reversed since 2019 as big tech pushed public-market returns higher and boom-era private equity prices made exits harder; the S&P 500 is the clean public benchmark.
Andrew Weinberg Founder and CEO, Brightstar Capital Partners 7:01
Operational PE beats leverage-driven PE now.
2022 was an inflection point: achieving the same private equity return now requires roughly 12% bottom-line growth instead of the old 5% growth plus leverage and multiple expansion, so investors will increasingly differentiate between managers focused on operational value add and AI application and those focused mainly on leverage and multiple expansion.
Andrew Weinberg Founder and CEO, Brightstar Capital Partners 7:01
Operational PE beats leverage-driven PE now.
2022 was an inflection point: achieving the same private equity return now requires roughly 12% bottom-line growth instead of the old 5% growth plus leverage and multiple expansion, so investors will increasingly differentiate between managers focused on operational value add and AI application and those focused mainly on leverage and multiple expansion.
Jason Tyler President, Wealth Management, Northern Trust 8:25
Investors shift to direct company investing.
Large investors are increasingly resisting traditional private equity fund fees, choosing to be more patient and pursue direct company investments, while PE funds respond with lower-fee co-investment opportunities to keep those investors.
Jason Tyler President, Wealth Management, Northern Trust 8:25
Investors shift to direct company investing.
Large investors are increasingly resisting traditional private equity fund fees, choosing to be more patient and pursue direct company investments, while PE funds respond with lower-fee co-investment opportunities to keep those investors.
Далее

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 16, 2026, features Steve Rattner, Steven Kaplan, Andrew Weinberg, Jason Tyler discussing Equities, TLT, PSP, SPY, US buyout funds, Operational value-add private equity managers, Leverage/multiple expansion private equity managers, Direct private company co-investments, Traditional private equity funds. 9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Steve Rattner, Steven Kaplan, Andrew Weinberg, Jason Tyler  · Tickers: Equities, TLT, PSP, SPY, US buyout funds, Operational value-add private equity managers, Leverage/multiple expansion private equity managers, Direct private company co-investments, Traditional private equity funds