‘Blow Up’ Volatility: Could China Trigger Q4 Market Chaos? | Will Rhind

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 18, 2025 at 17:55  |  29:21  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Will Rhind — Founder and CEO, GraniteShares
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

Will Rhind, CEO of GraniteShares, discusses the market outlook with David Lin, focusing on Fed rate cuts, strong large-cap tech earnings, and the potential for Q4 volatility. He is constructive on US stocks, large-cap tech, gold, and Bitcoin, while highlighting small caps as a rate-cut beneficiary. Rhind also explains how GraniteShares uses options-based ETFs to convert volatility into income and to hedge portfolios.

  • Fed easing and strong tech earnings support a bullish year-end equity view.
  • Large caps and tech are preferred over small caps, though small caps may benefit from falling rates.
  • Gold's rise is tied to de-dollarization, central bank buying, and diversification demand.
  • Bitcoin is viewed as a risk-on alternative asset with finite supply and higher-price potential.
  • Q4 volatility risks include geopolitics, inflation, Fed disappointment, and China trade setbacks.
  • GraniteShares YieldBoost ETFs sell puts and buy puts to generate income with downside protection.
  • Leveraged/inverse single-stock ETFs and short ETFs are presented as volatility trading or hedging tools.
  • Rhind sees gold near $4,000 as achievable and Bitcoin higher if risk conditions persist.
Ideas
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 6:10
Stay long US stocks into year-end
Will agrees with the bullish case that as the Fed begins easing while the labor market softens enough to justify cuts but not a recession, investors should stay long and perhaps lever up into year-end. He sees the market in good shape, supported by rate cuts and strong large-tech earnings, especially from companies like Oracle, propelling indexes higher.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 6:50
Large-cap tech remains the place to be
Large-cap technology companies make up the bulk of major indexes, have reported very strong earnings, and are the biggest beneficiaries of AI and crypto. Will calls them the quality leaders and the place to be, unlike smaller companies that lack comparable sector leadership.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 8:07
Small caps benefit as rates fall
Small caps are more sensitive to interest rates than large caps, and about a third of Russell companies are unprofitable, but as the Fed cuts rates and the economy strengthens, smaller companies should benefit. Will says it is less about the entire market and more about quality versus low quality, and small caps have lagged despite their rate-cut leverage.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 10:49
Gold is mainstream dollar alternative
Gold has become the de facto alternative to the US dollar, with central banks now buyers and official gold reserves surpassing the euro. Record global government debt and demand for diversification from stocks and bonds make gold a mainstream portfolio holding; it deserves a mathematically significant allocation of roughly 5%-10% or more, and $4,000 gold is achievable.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 11:36
Leveraged single-stock ETFs trade volatility
Even when the broad index rises, individual stocks move in a nonlinear fashion with large up-and-down swings, so investors are using GraniteShares' leveraged long and inverse single-stock ETFs to trade that volatility. The products are popular because they allow tactical long or short expression on single names, though no specific stock is endorsed.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 12:04
YieldBoost converts volatility into protected income
GraniteShares YieldBoost ETFs are options-based products that sell puts to generate high weekly income—roughly 50% to 180% annualized—and buy puts to provide downside protection, effectively converting elevated volatility into yield. Will prefers this to covered-call ETFs, which sell calls but leave full downside exposure and can suffer NAV erosion over time.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 12:04
YieldBoost converts volatility into protected income
GraniteShares YieldBoost ETFs are options-based products that sell puts to generate high weekly income—roughly 50% to 180% annualized—and buy puts to provide downside protection, effectively converting elevated volatility into yield. Will prefers this to covered-call ETFs, which sell calls but leave full downside exposure and can suffer NAV erosion over time.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 12:53
Q4 volatility risks are rising
Volatility could return in Q4 because geopolitical risks, an inflation resurgence, Fed disappointment on the pace of rate cuts, or a China trade deal falling apart could unsettle markets. The market has been calm, but these catalysts could bring more volatility, benefiting options-based strategies that convert higher implied volatility into income.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 18:01
Bitcoin can rise as risk alternative
Bitcoin's investment case is similar to gold's in that it offers an alternative to mainstream assets and currencies, but it is a risk asset rather than a risk-off asset. Its finite supply, expected demand exceeding supply, and independence from central authorities attract buyers; if supportive conditions persist and risk assets like tech/NASDAQ rise, Bitcoin should trade higher, though it remains volatile and vulnerable to recessions or selloffs.
Will Rhind Founder and CEO, GraniteShares 22:57
Short ETFs can hedge volatility
In volatile environments, short ETFs can provide hedging activity for a portfolio. Will presents them as something to consider for investors seeking protection against market selloffs, though he does not name a specific underlying market or fund.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published September 18, 2025, features Will Rhind discussing SPY, XLK, IWM, GLD, GraniteShares leveraged and inverse single-stock ETFs, GraniteShares YieldBoost ETFs, Covered Call ETFs, VOLATILITY, BTC, Short ETFs. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Will Rhind  · Tickers: SPY, XLK, IWM, GLD, GraniteShares leveraged and inverse single-stock ETFs, GraniteShares YieldBoost ETFs, Covered Call ETFs, VOLATILITY, BTC, Short ETFs