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Why Samsung Electronics' stock price is falling despite 'record performance'? | Park Ji-hoon, Yeo Do-eun, Heo Jae-mu

Why Samsung Electronics' stock price is falling despite 'record performance'? | Park Ji-hoon, Yeo Do-eun, Heo Jae-mu [Morning N Investment]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 08, 2026 at 02:38  |  55:54  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Ji-hoon — Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities

Summary

NH Investment Director Park Ji-hoon addresses Samsung Electronics' post-earnings decline, arguing that temporary noise (slight miss, HBM margin, DRAM deceleration) does not derail the AI capex cycle. He remains bullish on Korean semiconductors (Samsung, SK hynix, preferred shares) and highlights several other opportunities: shipbuilding (HD Hyundai Heavy top pick), HYBE on an earnings explosion, Celltrion as a contrarian biotech play, and a convergence trade in KODEX Biotech vs XBI. He also flags Tesla's upcoming humanoid robot reveal as a catalyst for robotics stocks and a cautious watch on Hyundai Motor's robot narrative.

  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix could reclaim highs once hyperscaler capex is confirmed in late July; valuations are cheap (SK hynix P/E ~5x)
  • Samsung preferred shares offer additional upside from a narrowing discount to common shares
  • An SK hynix ADR/local share arbitrage trade is creating near-term foreign selling in the local stock
  • Korean shipbuilders, led by HD Hyundai Heavy, have already hit annual order targets and will benefit from offshore, special-vessel, and military demand
  • HYBE is a bottom-fishing idea with explosive earnings growth (operating profit +147% YoY in Q2) and P/E near historic lows
  • Celltrion is an accumulation candidate as sentiment bottoms while earnings continue to improve
  • Korean biotech ETF (KODEX) is deeply diverging from the US XBI, setting up a possible convergence rally
  • Tesla's third-generation humanoid robot unveiling in July could reignite global robotics narratives, benefiting Tesla and potentially Hyundai Motor via Boston Dynamics
Ideas
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 9:33
AI capex cycle intact, buy the dip.
The AI-driven capex cycle remains intact with ~80% probability that hyperscalers will not retreat on investment. Temporary noise (Samsung earnings slightly below consensus, HBM margin drag, decelerating DRAM price growth) has created a pullback, but valuations are now very cheap: KOSPI forward P/E ~6.4x, SK hynix P/E ~5x, Samsung ex-charge floor around 28,000-30,000 KRW. Earnings trajectory continues upward, and the long-term AI infrastructure build-out (involving government and enterprise) is far from over. He expects Samsung Electronics and SK hynix can reclaim their previous highs once hyperscaler earnings in late July reaffirm capex plans.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 12:32
Buy ADR, sell local on premium.
UBS and other global desks are recommending a pair trade: buy the new SK hynix ADR (listing Friday) and sell the local Seoul-listed shares to capture the typical ADR premium observed with names like TSMC. The premium could be 15–20% initially but tends to converge over time. This arbitrage flow is driving near-term foreign selling of local SK hynix shares.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 36:27
Samsung preferred discount will narrow.
Samsung Electronics preferred shares offer a better entry than common shares due to a persistent discount. As the common shares recover, the discount should narrow, providing additional relative upside.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 37:00
Korean biotech ETF to converge with XBI.
A striking divergence has opened: the US XBI biotech ETF is hitting new highs (+32% YTD) while the Korean KODEX Biotech ETF is down -30%. Historically the two have very tight correlation with only a time lag. With the macro environment not hostile to growth stocks (Powell likely holding rates until September, no immediate inflation or employment fears), there is a strong case for Korean biotech to converge upward toward its US counterpart.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 39:55
Shipbuilding orders booming, Hyundai Heavy top pick.
Korean shipbuilders, especially HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (top pick), have already achieved most annual order targets by July. The next leg of the cycle will come from non-container ship demand: offshore plants, special-purpose vessels, military contracts, and engines. The order momentum remains very strong and he argues the sector should not be stopped out.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 47:28
HYBE earnings explosion, valuation near historical low.
HYBE is a bottom-fishing opportunity. Earnings are surging: full-year revenue is expected to exceed KRW 4 trillion (up from KRW 2.6 trillion last year), operating profit jumped from KRW 50 billion to KRW 300 billion, and Q2 operating profit grew 147% YoY. The P/E has fallen to around 20x, an extremely low level for the entertainment sector historically. BTS comebacks, MD sales, and offline concerts are only beginning to be reflected and should drive further upside through the second half.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 49:36
Celltrion earnings strong despite low expectations.
Celltrion is a stock to accumulate. Sentiment and consensus expectations are at rock bottom, but the company has already shown improving earnings in Q2 and he expects the strong earnings trajectory to continue. It is a contrarian play on Korean biotech that could benefit once the sector sees a brief easing of pessimism.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 53:06
Tesla robot reveal will reignite robotics narrative.
Tesla will unveil its third-generation humanoid robot in late July. This event can reignite the global humanoid and robotics narrative, which has been the core driver of Tesla's stock momentum. A successful reveal could lift Tesla and the broader robot value chain globally.
Park Ji-hoon Director, Asset Management Consulting Dept., NH Investment & Securities 53:43
Robot narrative may save Hyundai Motor.
Hyundai Motor faces a near-term earnings shock in Q2 but is expected to turn around from Q3. The bigger catalyst is robotics: Tesla's robot event could lift the entire robot value chain, and Hyundai owns Boston Dynamics. Although meaningful robot revenue is not expected until 2028, the narrative could provide a breath of life for the stock, provided management accelerates related corporate actions and listing plans.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published July 08, 2026, features Park Ji-hoon discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SK Hynix ADR, 005935.KS, 114800.KS, 329180.KS, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 352820.KQ, 068270.KS, TSLA, 005380.KS. 9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Ji-hoon  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, SK Hynix ADR, 005935.KS, 114800.KS, 329180.KS, 010140.KS, 042660.KS, 352820.KQ, 068270.KS, TSLA, 005380.KS