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It's not a sell-on... The reason Samsung Electronics' stock price plummeted despite a surprise earnings report is 'this' / Is now the buying timing for semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment? | Shin Jun-ho, Head of LS Securities

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 08, 2026 at 01:30  |  20:23  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Shin Jungho — Head of Research Center, LS Securities

Summary

Shin Jun-ho, Head of LS Securities, explains why Samsung Electronics fell despite strong Q2 earnings. He argues the market is shifting from ASP-driven memory boom to volume growth, and near-term uncertainty requires patience. He advises holding existing Samsung/SK Hynix positions but waiting for hyperscaler guidance before new entries. He sees the next alpha opportunity in Korea’s semiconductor materials and equipment sector, which should gain momentum after August earnings and government policy moves. Samsung’s foundry turnaround is an early, unconfirmed catalyst worth monitoring.

  • Samsung Q2 earnings were strong but the stock dropped on fears of margin peak and ASP deceleration.
  • Memory cycle is moving from price-driven to volume-driven growth, creating short-term headwinds.
  • Existing holders of Samsung (005930.KS) and SK Hynix (000660.KS) should hold; new buyers should wait for July hyperscaler capex signals.
  • Alpha is expected to migrate from memory stocks to Korea’s semiconductor materials and equipment sector.
  • 소부장 sector could rally after August earnings confirmations and government select-company policy clarity.
  • Samsung’s foundry profitability, if officially confirmed, could become a long-term re-rating catalyst.
  • Retail liquidity has weakened due to leverage product losses, amplifying downside volatility.
Ideas
Shin Jungho Head of Research Center, LS Securities 0:13
Semiconductor equipment sector poised for alpha
As the semiconductor cycle transitions from ASP dominance to volume (Q) growth, capex will increase, directly benefiting the semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment (소부장) sector. August earnings will confirm strong performance among these companies. Government select/premium company policies will highlight profitable 소부장 firms, likely triggering ETF creation and institutional inflows. Additionally, TSMC’s value chain has already seen significant rerating, suggesting Korean 소부장 will follow. The era of alpha from memory stocks is over, and the next wave of outperformance will come from this segment.
Shin Jungho Head of Research Center, LS Securities 1:06
Memory stocks: hold, wait for catalysts
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix delivered strong Q2 earnings, but the memory upcycle driven by ASP (average selling price) is giving way to volume (Q) growth. The market now questions whether extreme memory margins are sustainable, as hyperscaler customers face rising costs. This transition creates near-term uncertainty. Existing holders should hold, but new entries should wait for July hyperscaler capex guidance and evidence that memory margins will not collapse like past cycles. A valuation re-rating may emerge later if margin stability and cash flow improvement are confirmed, ending the pure ASP-driven alpha but still allowing market-level returns.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 08, 2026, features Shin Jungho discussing Korea Semiconductor Materials & Equipment sector, 000660.KS, 005930.KS. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Shin Jungho  · Tickers: Korea Semiconductor Materials & Equipment sector, 000660.KS, 005930.KS