Canada To Lose 90,000 Jobs From Trade War: Brace For 'Economic Pain' | Trevor Tombe

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 06, 2026 at 19:22  |  54:36  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Trevor Tombe — Professor of Economics, University of Calgary
Chrystia Freeland — Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance of Canada
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

This interview examines the US-Canada trade war after US 50% tariffs on C$20 billion of Canadian imports and Canada's dollar-for-dollar retaliation. Economist Trevor Tombe estimates the US tariffs could cost Canada about 90,000 jobs and slow GDP/employment growth by about 0.4%, while Canada's retaliatory tariffs add to consumer prices. The discussion covers why negotiations broke down, whether retaliation makes sense, energy export risks, and the need for Canadian tax and regulatory reform. The video also includes a sponsored segment presenting bullish gold price targets and profiling GoldGroup Mining.

  • US imposed 50% tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian imports, and Canada retaliated with 50% tariffs.
  • Trevor Tombe estimates about 90,000 Canadian jobs at risk from direct and supply-chain effects, slowing GDP/employment growth by about 0.4%.
  • British Columbia has the largest export share hit, while Ontario faces the largest raw job losses.
  • Canada's economy is flatlining and about 2% smaller than it would have been on its pre-2025 trend.
  • Tombe argues Canadian retaliation is counterproductive and warns energy export cuts would harm Canada far more than the US.
  • He advocates tax, regulatory, and interprovincial trade reforms to improve Canadian investment and productivity.
  • The sponsored segment presents institutional gold targets as high as $10,000 by decade end and profiles GoldGroup Mining as a producing gold/silver company.
Ideas
David Lin Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News 7:51
Wall Street targets much higher gold prices
Major financial institutions forecast substantially higher gold prices, with JP Morgan seeing roughly $6,000/oz in Q4 2026 and $6,300 by end-2027, SocGen a $6,000 target by end-2026, and Ed Yardeni $10,000 by decade end. The speaker frames this as institutions preparing for a continued gold bull market.
David Lin Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News 8:45
GoldGroup Mining offers production and upside
GoldGroup Mining is a producing gold/silver company with four 100%-owned North American assets: two operating mines, Don David and Cerro Prieto, the San Francisco restart potential, and the Back Forty advanced project. Eric Sprott owns roughly 7.6%, the company holds about US$59 million pro forma cash with no material debt, and management aims to build an intermediate gold producer.
Trevor Tombe Professor of Economics, University of Calgary 15:25
Tariffs hit Canada with 90,000 job losses
The US 50% tariffs on C$20 billion of Canadian exports will cut Canadian sales, causing about 50,000 direct and 35,000 supply-chain job losses, roughly 90,000 jobs, and slow Canadian employment/GDP growth by about 0.4%. That is a meaningful sectoral hit but not a recession; the broader Canadian economy is flatlining and about 2% smaller than it would have been on its pre-2025 trend.
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