'Pretty comfortable' with where large tech firms are trading currently: Gabelli Funds' John Belton

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 06, 2026 at 15:16  |  7:26  |  CNBC
Speakers
John Bolton — Former US National Security Advisor / Ambassador

Summary

John Belton, portfolio manager for growth equities at Gabelli Funds, joins Squawk Box to discuss the sharp selloff in tech and software and the debate over whether AI is a bubble or a disruptive force. He argues AI is already generating revenue in digital advertising, digital commerce, cloud computing, and agentic software, while many legacy software companies face real disruption and valuation risk. He says large tech platforms are trading at reasonable valuations, is comfortable with them, and sees Amazon's valuation discount to Walmart as extending its upside case.

  • Tech and software sold off sharply, with AI disruption fears pressuring the group.
  • Belton rejects the idea that AI can be both a bubble and an industry-eating force.
  • He identifies digital advertising, digital commerce, cloud computing, and agentic software as areas where AI is already generating returns.
  • He says many software companies were overvalued and face AI disruption risk.
  • He is comfortable with large tech platform valuations because they benefit from AI with less obvious disruption risk.
  • Amazon's valuation discount to Walmart extends its upside case if fundamentals recover.
  • He expects any rebound to be case-by-case and favors quality AI beneficiaries after indiscriminate selling.
Ideas
John Bolton Former US National Security Advisor / Ambassador 1:30
AI monetizes in ads, commerce, cloud, agents.
Belton says AI is already clearly generating returns in certain areas today: digital advertising first, digital commerce alongside it, cloud computing second, and agentic software as the emerging third. Those areas are the clearest AI monetization beneficiaries and support the view that AI is not only a bubble narrative.
John Bolton Former US National Security Advisor / Ambassador 2:49
Software faces AI disruption and overvaluation.
Belton says many software companies were overvalued relative to decelerating fundamentals and now face meaningful AI disruption risk. Tools like Cloud Code commoditize code writing, forcing software firms to figure out how to coexist with AI, so he sees real justification for the market's concerns about software.
John Bolton Former US National Security Advisor / Ambassador 3:15
Large tech valuations look reasonable, AI-supported.
Belton thinks many large tech platforms are benefiting from AI and have less obvious AI disruption risk than smaller software names, yet they are trading at reasonable valuation multiples today. He acknowledges valuation alone is not a thesis and multiples can de-rate, but he feels pretty comfortable with where large tech is trading.
John Bolton Former US National Security Advisor / Ambassador 5:36
Amazon valuation discount extends upside case.
Amazon reported strong numbers with an aggressive capex outlook, yet the market sold off the stock. Belton notes Amazon trades above a 20-turn P/E but at a discount to Walmart, which is not his only reason to buy but extends the upside case if and when fundamentals move back in the right direction.
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