Seong Sang-hyun, KBIZ Deputy Department Head, Caught on His Way Home and Falls for Byeoljubujeon's Charm | Executive Director Park Se-ik & KBIZ Deputy Department Head Seong Sang-hyun & Chesley Head of Learning & Department Head Jo Jae-wan [Byeoljubujeon / 26.08.29.Sat]

Seong Sang-hyun, Deputy Department Head, caught on his way home, falls for the charm of Byeoljubujeon! | Executive Director Park Se-ik & KBIZ Deputy Department Head Seong Sang-hyun & Chesley Head of Learning & Department Head Jo Jae-wan [Byeoljubujeon / 26.08.29.Sat]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 30, 2026 at 07:10  |  21:37  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Sung Sang-hyun — Deputy Head of Investment Strategy Office, Korea Federation of SMEs
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

KBIZ Deputy Department Head Seong Sang-hyun joins the Byeoljubujeon panel and shares institutional macro and asset views. He sees September US liquidity and tax seasonality as a short-term equity risk but remains generally constructive, favors Korean memory semiconductor re-rating, and is bullish on Bitcoin and Ethereum/Solana. Park Se-ik adds a Halloween seasonal equity strategy and argues that inflationary US debt reduction makes stock ownership essential.

  • Seong Sang-hyun explains September corporate tax payments drain private liquidity into the US Treasury, making equities vulnerable around mid-September unless markets have already corrected.
  • He does not expect semiconductor operating profit to peak next year and sees Samsung Electronics and SK hynix re-rating on shareholder returns.
  • He argues Treasury buybacks signal US intent to inflate away debt, supporting scarce assets like Bitcoin.
  • He sees potential US regulatory clarity such as Clarity legislation as positive for Ethereum and Solana within the blockchain ecosystem.
  • Park Se-ik outlines a Halloween seasonal strategy: stay defensive into mid-September, then buy stocks in late October and sell into July.
  • Park Se-ik also argues that inflation eroding real US debt is a structural reason to invest in stocks.
Ideas
Sung Sang-hyun Deputy Head of Investment Strategy Office, Korea Federation of SMEs 4:37
September tax liquidity may pressure US equities.
September corporate tax payments pull private liquidity into the US Treasury, and this TGA buildup historically makes equities vulnerable from around September 8-11 into mid-September, especially if a FOMO rally preceded it. He sees this as short-term liquidity volatility rather than a trend reversal because Treasury TGA balances are not low and the cash is likely to be released again, while FOMC-induced long-term yield pressure is the bigger risk.
Sung Sang-hyun Deputy Head of Investment Strategy Office, Korea Federation of SMEs 7:51
Semiconductor profits plateau, valuations remain low.
The semiconductor cycle is not likely to peak in operating profit next year; although operating margin may roll over after the extreme swing from 100 trillion to 700 trillion won, the key is whether absolute operating profit plateaus. Current valuations are low, and if Samsung Electronics and SK hynix deliver quarterly shareholder returns as they transition from growth to value, a re-rating should be open next year rather than a 2000-style collapse.
Sung Sang-hyun Deputy Head of Investment Strategy Office, Korea Federation of SMEs 11:07
Bitcoin benefits from debt dilution cycle.
Bitcoin is a scarce asset that benefits when the US dilutes debt through inflation; the Treasury buyback signal supports that interpretation. Bitcoin's four-year cycle also enters its up-phase from September-October after the previous decline, and these factors are combining to support a multi-year rise.
Sung Sang-hyun Deputy Head of Investment Strategy Office, Korea Federation of SMEs 12:28
Regulatory clarity may rotate funds to Ethereum/Solana.
Potential US regulatory clarity such as the Clarity legislation would grow the blockchain ecosystem, which could direct funds into Ethereum and Solana as blockchain operators, separate from Bitcoin's scarce-asset trade.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published August 30, 2026, features Sung Sang-hyun discussing SPY, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, BTC, ETH, SOL. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Sung Sang-hyun  · Tickers: SPY, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, BTC, ETH, SOL