Tom Rogers on the battle over WBD: It doesn't really matters who ends up winning this fight

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 13, 2026 at 13:29  |  9:34  |  CNBC
Speakers
Tom Rogers — Media Mogul

Summary

Tom Rogers, former NBC Cable president and Versant senior advisor, discusses Paramount Skydance's hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery and Netflix's competing interest. He argues the identity of the ultimate owner may not matter much for viewers or the industry, but it matters greatly for shareholders because a higher Paramount bid could still emerge and force a Netflix response. He highlights Paramount's high leverage and financing risk, Netflix's tougher regulatory path, and the possibility that Paramount could later acquire Warner's cable assets if Netflix wins.

  • Paramount Skydance is pursuing a hostile bid for Warner Bros. Discovery.
  • Tom Rogers says the winner may not matter broadly, but WBD shareholders still face a live auction.
  • He expects another Paramount bid and likely Netflix counterbid.
  • Paramount's bid would leave the company highly leveraged, creating debt-financing risk.
  • Paramount may have a regulatory edge over Netflix, especially in Europe and state AGs.
  • Netflix has no near-term incentive to raise its bid and may wait.
  • If Netflix wins, Paramount could still acquire Warner's cable assets.
  • The broader media consolidation landscape may remain frozen during the process.
Ideas
Tom Rogers Media Mogul 4:04
WBD bidding war may support higher bid.
The WBD takeover fight remains fluid, but it matters greatly to WBD shareholders. The board has legitimate concerns about Paramount's financing, yet is seeking a higher price. Paramount has not yet put forward its best and final offer, so another Paramount bid is likely, which would probably force a Netflix counterbid; if Paramount raises without a Netflix counter, that could clinch the outcome.
Tom Rogers Media Mogul 4:19
Paramount WBD bid: leverage risk, regulatory edge.
Paramount is the player that most needs a solution and is pursuing WBD, but its bid would leave Paramount leveraged about nine times at close. While Larry Ellison has backstopped the equity, the debt financing could become harder to secure before close, making the WBD board's concerns legitimate and hard to cure. Paramount does have a regulatory edge over Netflix, especially in Europe and before state AGs.
Tom Rogers Media Mogul 5:05
Netflix faces tougher WBD regulatory path.
Netflix has a tougher regulatory path for a WBD deal than Paramount, particularly in Europe and before state AGs, and has no incentive to raise its bid now while waiting for Paramount's best and final. However, Trump may be relatively benign toward Netflix winning because Netflix would not end up owning CNN, softening the U.S. political angle.
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This CNBC video, published January 13, 2026, features Tom Rogers discussing WBD, PSKY, NFLX. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Tom Rogers  · Tickers: WBD, PSKY, NFLX