Chokehold On This Asset Would Be 'Cataclysmic To The World' | Olav Langelaar

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 16, 2025 at 16:29  |  41:32  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Olav Langelaar — VP of Corporate Development, Gladiator Metals

Summary

Olav Langelaar, VP of Corporate Development at Gladiator Metals, discusses copper's tariff-driven price volatility and long-term supply/demand outlook. He argues copper is structurally undersupplied due to declining grades, slow mine development, and China's 53% control of smelting capacity, while demand grows from emerging markets, electrification, and AI/data centers. He is bullish on copper and copper equities, noting major copper stocks have lagged the metal's recovery, and pitches Gladiator Metals' high-grade Yukon copper project.

  • Copper fell after Liberation Day tariffs, then partially recovered as Chinese buyers purchased the dip; Dr. Copper remains cautious.
  • Olav sees long-term copper demand growth from emerging markets, the energy transition, and AI/data centers.
  • Supply is constrained by falling grades, permitting delays, high capital costs, and 17-year discovery-to-production timelines.
  • China controls 53% of global copper smelting, and an export ban would be cataclysmic and hard to replace.
  • A copper production deficit is expected around 2027-2028, with forecasts pointing to $5 copper by 2030.
  • Olav is bullish on copper equities because major producers remain 25-30% below copper-implied levels.
  • Gladiator Metals is exploring a high-grade Yukon copper skarn belt and targets a 40Mt >1% Cu resource at Cowi Park.
  • Gladiator is fully funded, drilling 28,000-29,000 meters, with a resource expected late Q1 or early Q2 2026.
Ideas
Olav Langelaar VP of Corporate Development, Gladiator Metals 6:45
Copper deficit drives long-term price higher.
Olav is long-term bullish on copper because supply is structurally constrained while demand grows. He cites emerging-market per-capita catch-up, the energy transition, and digital/AI infrastructure as demand drivers. Supply is constrained by declining grades, deeper and more impure mines, permitting delays, capital costs around $44,000 per ton, and 17-year discovery-to-production timelines; only 10 of 34 major copper projects in the last decade reached production. He expects a production deficit around 2027-2028 and forecasts $5 copper by 2030, with about 50 million tons needed annually by 2050 versus 22 million today, requiring a higher incentive price. China's 53% control of global smelting and the risk of an export ban add upside risk.
Olav Langelaar VP of Corporate Development, Gladiator Metals 25:58
Copper equities lag metal, offer leverage.
Olav is bullish on copper equities because major copper producers' shares have not recovered with the copper price; they remain 25-30% below levels implied by current spot copper and did not rebound as much as copper after the April tariff-driven selloff. He thinks generalist investors can take a contrarian view because equities are pricing a weaker copper price than spot. As the expected copper shortage manifests in the next two to five years, he expects a step-function move: a price spike followed by rapid equity gains, so now is a good time to position.
Olav Langelaar VP of Corporate Development, Gladiator Metals 27:27
High-grade Yukon copper project targets 40Mt.
Olav is bullish on Gladiator Metals because it controls a 35-km high-grade copper skarn belt near Whitehorse, Yukon, which was privately held for 40 years and is only now receiving meaningful exploration. Gladiator is hitting near-surface intervals of 7-10% copper over broad widths; its Cowi Park prospect is targeting a 40 million ton resource at greater than 1% copper plus silver, gold and molybdenum credits, with a 43-101 resource expected late Q1 or early Q2 2026. High grade, roughly double the world average, should lower mining and milling costs and capital intensity and make the project robust. Olav's screen found only 22 undeveloped >40Mt 1% copper projects globally, only four open-pittable, with two in conflict jurisdictions, so Gladiator could become a top-three asset. The company is fully funded with about $17M cash, plans 28,000-29,000 meters of drilling, and sees additional resource potential in the Chiefs and Arctic Chief trends, targeting 100Mt over time.
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Speakers: Olav Langelaar  · Tickers: COPPER, COPX, GLAD.V