EUA, CHINA E RÚSSIA: POR QUE O MUNDO MULTIPOLAR AUMENTA O RISCO DE GUERRA

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 02, 2026 at 00:30  |  9:51  |  Market Makers
Speakers
Gunther Rudzit — Professor de Relações Internacionais da ESPM

Summary

Gunther Rudzit discusses whether a multipolar world is more balanced or more dangerous, arguing from history that multipolarity increased the risk of major war. He examines how China and Russia contest the US-led order and analyzes the role of soft power in global influence. The conversation also contrasts American cultural reach under Trump 2 with China's execution-focused but politically controlled model.

  • The discussion centers on whether a multipolar world is more balanced or more war-prone.
  • Gunther Rudzit argues that multipolar orders before WWI and WWII ended in major conflicts.
  • He sees the current geopolitical temperature as high and likely to keep rising.
  • The Xi-Putin February 2022 joint declaration is cited as evidence of a challenge to the liberal order.
  • Soft power is analyzed through US cultural influence, Hollywood, and film output from India and Nigeria.
  • Trump 2 is described as having damaged the American image abroad.
  • China's model is admired for execution but criticized for political control, using Jack Ma and Alibaba as a cautionary example.
Ideas
Gunther Rudzit Professor de Relações Internacionais da ESPM 8:58
Chinese state control creates Alibaba shareholder risk
Chinese state control directly creates shareholder and governance risk in Chinese big tech: after Jack Ma said the government should reduce control of Chinese big tech to compete with American tech, he disappeared, and Alibaba changed its statute so the maximum any investor can hold is 7% of its shares. This illustrates that China's execution capacity comes with political control that many Western investors would not accept.
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This Market Makers video, published September 02, 2026, features Gunther Rudzit discussing BABA. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Gunther Rudzit  · Tickers: BABA