Gold At $3,300: Market Peak or Just The First Leg Up? | David Wolfin

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 01, 2025 at 01:44  |  26:48  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
David Wolfin — President and CEO, Avino Silver & Gold Mines

Summary

David Wolfin, President and CEO of Avino Silver & Gold Mines, discusses gold above $3,300, arguing gold is portfolio insurance and mining equities offer leveraged exposure. He expects stronger miner cash flow and dividends to lift senior and royalty companies first, then mid-tier and junior miners, while silver M&A has narrowed the pure silver universe. Wolfin details Avino's five-year organic growth plan, La Preciosa permit, oxide tailings project, falling costs, Samsung offtake, and resource expansion plans.

  • Gold above $3,300 is treated as a portfolio-insurance asset rather than a price-chasing trade.
  • Gold mining equities are framed as a higher-leverage alternative to bullion.
  • Free cash flow and expected dividend increases are seen as catalysts for senior miners and royalty companies.
  • The re-rating is expected to trickle down to mid-tier and junior miners.
  • Silver sector M&A has reduced the number of pure silver plays and focuses attention on remaining names.
  • Avino is pursuing a five-year organic expansion with La Preciosa, oxide tailings, lower ASIC, no debt, and Samsung offtake.
  • Wolfin expects gold could pull back at some point before moving higher again.
Ideas
David Wolfin President and CEO, Avino Silver & Gold Mines 0:00
Gold is insurance in uncertain times.
Gold should be viewed as portfolio insurance in uncertain times. Every portfolio should have some gold exposure, and investors should not be overly concerned with the current price because the purpose is insurance/hedging rather than chasing a level.
David Wolfin President and CEO, Avino Silver & Gold Mines 1:07
Mining equities offer leveraged gold exposure.
Free cash flow is the key indicator for mining equities. Larger mining and royalty companies are reporting strong results and are expected to raise dividends, which should attract yield-driven generalist investors and drive re-rating in senior miners and royalty companies.
David Wolfin President and CEO, Avino Silver & Gold Mines 1:09
Avino offers low-cost silver growth and re-rating.
Avino is executing a five-year organic plan to become an intermediate producer. It is adding La Preciosa with a Mexican permit, low capex, high-grade material, and no new processing plant, plus an oxide tailings project with 5.7 Mt reserves and about 2 Moz AgEq, potentially lifting production 30-50% next year and lowering all-in sustaining costs to the low/mid teens. It has a combined 100-year mine life, high-grade drill results below level 17, no debt, no large financing plans, and a Samsung offtake/Asian sales route that avoids U.S. tariffs while increasing the silver revenue mix. The company reported record Q4 revenue and net income, and a new resource estimate is planned for Q1 next year.
David Wolfin President and CEO, Avino Silver & Gold Mines 2:37
Mid-tier, junior miners benefit from trickle-down.
The free-cash-flow and dividend-driven interest in senior miners should eventually trickle down to mid-tier and junior miners as senior valuations get stretched on P/NAV and investors look for opportunities lower down the market-cap spectrum.
David Wolfin President and CEO, Avino Silver & Gold Mines 3:26
Pure silver miners scarce after M&A.
M&A has removed SilverCrest and Gatos, two multi-billion-dollar silver companies, leaving fewer pure silver plays. The spotlight is narrowing on remaining pure silver equities, a scarcity dynamic that has supported Avino's share price and could keep attention on the remaining names.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published May 01, 2025, features David Wolfin discussing GLD, GDX, Gold royalty companies, ASM, GDXJ, SIL. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: David Wolfin  · Tickers: GLD, GDX, Gold royalty companies, ASM, GDXJ, SIL