Australia's Housing Crisis Worsens on Energy Costs

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 21, 2026 at 04:18  |  8:30  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Nerida Conisbee — Chief Economist, Ray White
Joumanna Bercetche — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

The video discusses the Australian housing market, highlighting diverging trends between premium and affordable segments in major cities. Ray White chief economist Nerida Conisbee explains how rising energy costs and interest rates are cooling the top end of Sydney and Melbourne, while first home buyer incentives support cheaper homes. She also notes booming demand in southeast Queensland's premium market and analyzes the potential impact of proposed tax changes on investors and renters.

  • Australian housing crisis faces new pressure from rising global energy prices increasing construction costs.
  • Home values are falling in Sydney and Melbourne, particularly at the premium end, due to rising interest rates and fuel costs.
  • Affordable housing segments in Sydney and Melbourne show strong price growth, supported by first home buyer incentives and supply shortages.
  • The premium property markets in Gold Coast and Brisbane are experiencing high demand and rapid price appreciation.
  • Consumer sentiment in Australia is at a record low, influenced by visible fuel price increases.
  • Potential tax reforms targeting capital gains and negative gearing could dampen investor activity and shift market dynamics.
  • Historical data from Victoria suggests adverse tax changes can lead to higher rent growth as investor supply declines.
  • The market faces a structural challenge of insufficient new construction to meet population growth and demand.
Trade Ideas
Nerida Conisbee Chief Economist, Ray White 0:44
Sydney, Melbourne premium property facing headwinds.
The premium end of the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets is struggling, with prices moderating and buyer caution increasing, driven by rising interest rates and visible fuel price inflation impacting consumer sentiment. The top end of these markets is more sensitive to interest rate changes because buyers, even at that level, often rely on large mortgages.
Nerida Conisbee Chief Economist, Ray White 2:33
Affordable Sydney, Melbourne housing remains strong.
The bottom 25th percentile (affordable segment) of the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets is experiencing strong price growth (12-13%) due to generous first home buyer incentives like the 5% deposit scheme and a persistent lack of building supply. This segment is being buoyed despite broader market headwinds.
Nerida Conisbee Chief Economist, Ray White 3:24
Premium Gold Coast, Brisbane property booming.
The premium property market in southeast Queensland, particularly the Gold Coast and Brisbane, is experiencing very high demand and rapid price growth, with the Gold Coast median price doubling over five years. The top end of the market is the primary driver of this strength.
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This Bloomberg Markets video, published April 21, 2026, features Nerida Conisbee discussing Premium property Sydney, Premium property Melbourne, VNQ, Premium property Gold Coast. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Nerida Conisbee  · Tickers: Premium property Sydney, Premium property Melbourne, VNQ, Premium property Gold Coast