China's Xi is making a big bet on tech to pull the Chinese economy through, says Dennis Unkovic

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 17, 2026 at 22:21  |  4:38  |  CNBC
Speakers
Dennis Unkovic — Partner at Meyer, Unkovic & Scott
Melissa — Host

Summary

Dennis Unkovic argues Xi Jinping is making a deliberate policy bet on technology and higher-end manufacturing to pull China's economy forward, while real estate and debt remain major structural drags. He cites DeepSeek as an example of China's cheap, open-source AI competitiveness, and the host adds that Chinese semiconductor exports are a major contributor to export growth. The conversation also covers oil-stockpile disinflation effects and upcoming U.S.-China tariff talks.

  • China is described as a two-speed economy with AI/tech/export strength and weak domestic demand.
  • Dennis says Xi is prioritizing technology and higher-end manufacturing over broad stimulus.
  • Real estate is about a third of China's GDP and has been weak for five years; debt-to-GDP is near 300%.
  • DeepSeek is cited as a cheaper, open-source AI model showing Chinese competitiveness.
  • Host says Chinese semiconductor exports are adding ten percentage points to total Chinese export growth.
  • Upcoming Trump-Xi September meeting is seen as one-day, likely focused on tariff pressure and Chinese chips.
Ideas
Dennis Unkovic Partner at Meyer, Unkovic & Scott 0:46
China tech/manufacturing is Xi's growth bet.
Xi Jinping has decided China must grow through technology and higher-end manufacturing rather than broad stimulus, betting that increased manufacturing and better technology can pull the economy forward despite real estate and debt drags; Dennis sees this as probably not a bad bet and thinks China has a good shot at moving faster than skeptics expect.
Dennis Unkovic Partner at Meyer, Unkovic & Scott 1:00
China real estate remains a structural drag.
Real estate is about one-third of China's GDP and has been in the tank for five years; combined with a debt-to-GDP ratio near 300%, it is a structural drag that means technology cannot fully answer China's economic problems.
Dennis Unkovic Partner at Meyer, Unkovic & Scott 3:04
China AI models are cheaply competitive.
DeepSeek shows Chinese AI is becoming globally competitive because it is open source and much less expensive than competing models, supporting China's ability to market cheap technology even though tech alone cannot fix the economy.
Melissa Host 3:25
China semiconductor exports are surging.
China is getting the rest of the world hooked on cheap Chinese AI components and open-source models, and semiconductor exports are adding ten percentage points to total Chinese export growth, showing China's growing leverage in global AI supply chains.
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This CNBC video, published August 17, 2026, features Dennis Unkovic, Melissa discussing CQQQ, China manufacturing sector, China real estate sector, China AI sector, SMH. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Dennis Unkovic, Melissa  · Tickers: CQQQ, China manufacturing sector, China real estate sector, China AI sector, SMH