Elon Musk Gave SpaceX Less Than 10% Chance of Succeeding

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 12, 2026 at 15:18  |  1:33  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Elon Musk — CEO, Tesla / SpaceX / xAI

Summary

Elon Musk reflects on the founding of SpaceX, stating he originally believed the company had less than a 10% chance of success. He explains that despite the low odds, he took the risk because no established aerospace company was pursuing the technology needed to make humanity a spacefaring civilization.

  • Elon Musk revisits SpaceX's humble beginnings in a warehouse in El Segundo.
  • He recalls giving the company less than a 10% chance of succeeding.
  • Musk argued that existing aerospace companies were not pursuing multiplanetary technology.
  • The SpaceX mission was to turn science fiction into reality and make life multiplanetary.
  • The comments are historical and do not contain forward-looking investment guidance.
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