Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plummet amid multiple woes… Another 'Black Monday', this week's big tech earnings will divide the domestic stock market in the second half

[July 26, 20 PM Broadcast Full View] Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plummet amid multiple woes… Another 'Black Monday', this week's big tech earnings will divide the domestic stock market in the second half
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 20, 2026 at 11:13  |  4:46:11  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist
Kim Han-jin — Economist
Lee Jae-kyu — PB Deputy Manager, SK Securities

Summary

The video covers a brutal Black Monday sell-off in Korean markets led by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Multiple experts argue the memory chips are deeply oversold, with valuations at 5-6x P/E, while underlying HBM/DDR5 demand remains strong. They compare the correction to NVDA's historical shakeouts and see a buying opportunity. An economist singles out Oracle as a canary for an AI spending crack-up, and notes the KOSPI is historically cheap. Big tech earnings this week are seen as a catalyst that could break the negative feedback loop between US and Korean semi stocks.

  • KOSPI fell 4.4%, KOSDAQ fell 5.3% with broad-based selling, triggered by continued chip weakness and leverage unwind.
  • Kim Jang-yeol highlights that SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics are trading at 5-6x forward P/E, similar to Micron, but local distortions caused additional unwarranted underperformance.
  • Lee Kwon-hee draws parallels to NVDA's past 20-40% corrections to argue the drop in Hynix is a classic entry point; KIMI K3's launch underscores massive memory needs.
  • Kim Han-jin points out the KOSPI is at 5x trailing P/E, below COVID-19 lows, and says if the chip cycle is structural, the sell-off is irrational.
  • Oracle is called out as the weakest link in the AI capex ecosystem; its CDS spreads flash a warning.
  • All speakers expect a technical bounce soon, with July 29 SK Hynix ADR conversion and big tech earnings as potential triggers.
Ideas
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 8:48
Oversold on liquidity, strong memory demand persists.
SK Hynix is deeply undervalued relative to Micron, trading at just 5-6x forward P/E even though the HBM/DDR5 memory upcycle remains intact. Supply-demand distortions from leveraged ETFs and foreign selling have created a 20%+ gap against Micron beyond common factors. The LTA contract structure supports pricing, and recent DDR5 spot price surges confirm strong server demand. Once AI capex fears ease around big tech earnings, the stock should rebound sharply.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 23:19
Undervalued memory leader with HBM catalyst ahead.
Samsung Electronics has underperformed SK Hynix due to HBM qualification concerns, but its memory business is still generating massive earnings, and the stock trades near 5x P/E. The AI capex cycle and eventual HBM qualification will close the valuation gap. The LTA contract visibility and robust DDR5 demand support a recovery in the share price.
Kim Han-jin Economist 84:09
KOSPI's 5x P/E is absurdly cheap assuming structural cycle.
The KOSPI is trading at a trailing P/E of just 5-6x, even below the COVID-19 bottom, and its forward PEG is only 0.25 based on 10-20% earnings growth. If the current semiconductor cycle is structural rather than cyclical, this valuation is unjustifiably low. The market is pricing in a severe earnings collapse that is unlikely to happen given persistent AI-related demand and LTA contracts.
Kim Han-jin Economist 99:29
Oracle overly levered, high bankruptcy risk on capex slowdown.
Oracle is the canary in the coal mine for the AI capex cycle. If the cycle cracks, Oracle's leverage makes it most vulnerable to default risk. The CDS spread for Oracle combined with other big techs is already elevated, and Oracle's standalone fundamentals could deteriorate badly in a downturn. Investors should avoid Oracle as a fragile link.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published July 20, 2026, features Kim Jang-yeol, Kim Han-jin discussing 000660.KS, 005930.KS, EWY, ORCL. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Jang-yeol, Kim Han-jin  · Tickers: 000660.KS, 005930.KS, EWY, ORCL