[#RealMarket] Foreigners bought 1 trillion won in futures before market close... A signal for tomorrow's rebound market has emerged / Reasons to expect an August bull market | CEO Lee Gwon-hee

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 20, 2026 at 11:00  |  29:06  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist

Summary

CEO Lee Kwon-hee analyzes the July 20 sell-off, noting that heavy foreign futures buying in the final hour signals a likely short-term rebound. He sees semiconductor overselling as overdone, expects big tech earnings and capex numbers to resolve uncertainty by month-end, and foresees a KOSDAQ rally in August. He also highlights bottoming signs in renewable energy, early-stage US shipbuilding equipment orders, and a conditional opportunity in deeply beaten sectors if rates fall. He warns against leveraged ETFs, which have turned the market into a speculative casino.

  • Korean market fell sharply but closed off lows; foreigner futures buying of 1 trillion won hints at a next-day rebound.
  • Semiconductor sell-off is overdone given still-strong server DRAM spot pricing and expectations of big tech capex increases of 30%+.
  • Upcoming big tech earnings (Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon) are the key catalyst to confirm AI investment trajectories.
  • Renewable energy stocks like SK Holdings, Hyundai Energy Solution, and SK Eternix are forming bottoms.
  • US shipbuilding project orders are beginning, benefiting Korean equipment suppliers.
  • KOSDAQ is forecast to rally from the 755 area toward 800 in August once capex noise clears.
  • Deeply sold-off defense, shipbuilding, semi equipment, and biotech sectors could roar back in September if interest rates decline.
  • Proliferation of leveraged ETFs has made the market excessively speculative, and investors should avoid these instruments.
Ideas
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 3:06
Big tech capex lifts memory stocks.
Big tech companies will increase capex by 30% or more to meet surging AI demand, confirmed in upcoming earnings (Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon). Korean memory leaders are oversold; hedge funds started buying back semi stocks last week; server DRAM spot prices remain strong (triple fixed price), disproving fears of a price collapse. The sell-off is overdone and a recovery is coming.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 5:54
Foreign futures buying signals tomorrow's rebound.
Foreign investors bought over 1 trillion won of KOSPI futures near the market close, adding to 700 billion won bought last Thursday. This pattern of heavy futures buying strongly signals a short-term rebound for the KOSPI tomorrow. Nasdaq futures also turned higher after the Korean close, reinforcing the signal.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 8:09
Renewable energy stocks bottoming out.
Renewable energy stocks showed resilience in a falling market; SK Holdings, Hyundai Energy Solution, and SK Eternix are displaying signs of forming a bottom and attempting a trend reversal, indicating that the sector may have already priced in the worst.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 8:52
Samsung Electro-Mechanics oversold bounce.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics has fallen so much that the market now considers it excessively oversold; the stock is showing a rebound in after-hours trading, suggesting a near-term corrective bounce.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 11:56
US Navy orders boost shipbuilding equipment.
The US government has designated shipbuilding as a strategic project, putting initial orders worth around 3 trillion won (USD 2 billion) into motion. Korean shipbuilding equipment suppliers like Hyundai Heavy Industries Engine & Machinery, Sejin Heavy Industries, and K are direct beneficiaries of this long-cycle demand, and the stocks are already turning positive.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 19:53
KOSDAQ to rally in August.
By the end of July, capex uncertainty will be resolved through big tech earnings, clearing the way for an August rally. The KOSDAQ index should rise about 1,000 points from the 755 area toward the 800 level, led by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix recovering about 15%.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 22:42
Buy beaten sectors if rates fall.
Deeply beaten-down stocks in defense, shipbuilding, semiconductor equipment/materials, and biotech are poised for a sharp rebound by September. The essential precondition is that interest rates must decline, which would unlock a powerful rotation into these oversold sectors.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 23:52
Avoid leveraged ETFs, speculative casino.
The proliferation of 2x leveraged ETFs has turned the Korean market into a speculative casino, trapping retail investors in extreme volatility and forcing coin-toss behavior. These instruments should be avoided until trading restrictions are imposed and market structure improves.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 20, 2026, features Lee Kwon-hee discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, EWY, 475150.KS, 034730.KS, 322000.KS, 009150.KS, 329180.KS, Sejin Heavy Industries, KOSDAQ Index, PKX, Korea Defense sector, Korea Semiconductor Equipment & Materials sector, Korea Biotech Sector, Korean 2x leveraged ETFs. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Kwon-hee  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, EWY, 475150.KS, 034730.KS, 322000.KS, 009150.KS, 329180.KS, Sejin Heavy Industries, KOSDAQ Index, PKX, Korea Defense sector, Korea Semiconductor Equipment & Materials sector, Korea Biotech Sector, Korean 2x leveraged ETFs