Caution Against 'Cruel History of September' Despite NVIDIA's Strong Performance... Why Global Hedge Funds Turned Neutral | Hong Seon-ae, Song Jae-kyung, Dimension Investment Advisory CEOs

Caution Against "Cruel History of September" Despite NVIDIA's Strong Performance... Why Global Hedge Funds Turned Neutral | Hong Seon-ae, Song Jae-kyung, Dimension Investment Advisory CEOs [Yeouido Insight]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 28, 2026 at 08:56  |  40:36  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Song Jaekyung — CEO

Summary

Song Jae-kyung discusses the market outlook for September, highlighting seasonal weaknesses and the cautious stance of global hedge funds despite NVIDIA's strong earnings. He emphasizes the growing importance of interest rates and the strengthening Korean Won, which are shifting market preferences toward value, dividend, and domestic defensive stocks.

  • The US market faces seasonal headwinds in September, prompting hedge funds to adopt neutral portfolios.
  • NVIDIA's impressive earnings are clouded by rising purchase commitments and guarantees, increasing supply chain risks if rates rise.
  • High interest rates are making growth stocks less appealing while boosting the attractiveness of value and dividend stocks.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are highlighted as strong dividend plays in the current high-yield environment.
  • The Korean Won is expected to strengthen further, potentially reaching the 1,200 range against the US Dollar by next year.
  • Food and consumer staple companies stand to benefit significantly from the stronger Won due to lower import costs.
Ideas
Samsung and SK hynix offer strong dividends.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have established a solid bottom through large-scale shareholder returns. In a high-interest-rate environment, they stand out as excellent value and dividend stocks, making them highly attractive to long-only global investors once market momentum returns.
Energy and cosmetics benefit from market rotation.
Sectors like energy, cosmetics, power equipment, and consumer staples are seeing positive earnings revisions. They are also benefiting from the recent strength of the Korean Won, making them attractive as market rotation continues away from crowded tech trades.
US equities face September seasonal weakness.
The US equity market historically struggles in September due to thin trading volumes and negative seasonality. With uncertainties surrounding the upcoming elections and the aftermath of the Jackson Hole meeting, hedge funds are shifting to neutral stances, warranting a cautious approach.
NVIDIA's intertwined supply chain poses rate risks.
While NVIDIA's earnings and guidance are impressive, the massive surge in purchase commitments and guarantees creates a highly intertwined risk profile with its supply chain. If interest rates rise too fast or AI demand slightly falters, this structure could become a headwind, so investors should not over-extrapolate the recent beat.
High rates favor value and dividend stocks.
In a high-interest-rate environment where bond yields are highly attractive, growth stocks lose their appeal because their distant future promises seem empty compared to immediate high yields. Therefore, value and dividend stocks become much more attractive investments.
The Korean Won will strengthen further.
The Korean Won is expected to strengthen further, potentially dropping into the 1,200 KRW/USD range by next year, driven by a structural trend of US Dollar weakness and shifting global monetary environments.
Stronger Won boosts food company profit margins.
Food and consumer staple companies are major beneficiaries of the strengthening Korean Won because they import most of their raw materials. With product prices already raised to reflect past inflation, falling import costs will expand their profit margins, making them strong defensive plays.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 28, 2026, features Song Jaekyung discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Power equipment, XLE, Cosmetics, SPY, NVDA, Dividend Stocks, Value stocks, KRW, Korean food companies, XLP. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Song Jaekyung  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, Power equipment, XLE, Cosmetics, SPY, NVDA, Dividend Stocks, Value stocks, KRW, Korean food companies, XLP