Nepal Looks To Rebuild As Flood Death Toll Rises | Insight with Haslinda Amin 8/28/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 28, 2026 at 07:15  |  47:27  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Raghuram Rajan — Former Governor of the Reserve Bank of India / Professor of Finance
Swarnim Wagle — Finance Minister, Nepal
Binod Chaudhary — Chairman and President, Chaudhary Group
Monica Doshi — Bloomberg Reporter

Summary

Raghuram Rajan discusses Fed policy, inflation, and rising long-term yields ahead of Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, warning that the Fed is behind the curve and that AI investment risks are building. The program also covers Nepal's devastating flood and reconstruction costs, with Finance Minister Swarnim Wagle outlining damage, funding sources, and Nepal's working hydropower export relationship with India. An India segment reviews slowing growth and potential RBI rate pressure.

  • Raghuram Rajan argues the Fed should already be raising rates because financial conditions are not restrictive.
  • Rajan expects long-term government bond yields to keep rising on deficits, spending needs, and competition for savings.
  • Rajan flags AI data-center and compute investment as an area of emerging return and demand risk.
  • Nepal faces a multibillion-dollar reconstruction effort after a deadly flash flood near the Chinese border.
  • Nepal's finance minister says hydropower exports to India are working well, with India committed to buy up to 10,000 MW over ten years.
  • India's growth likely slowed in the latest quarter, but it remains the fastest-growing major economy.
  • The RBI may face pressure to hike rates if US yields continue rising and the rupee remains under pressure.
Ideas
Raghuram Rajan Former Governor of the Reserve Bank of India / Professor of Finance 8:08
Fed behind curve; should raise rates.
Rajan argues the Fed is behind the curve because financial conditions are not restrictive: data-center investment, large fiscal deficits, and resilient consumer spending are supporting the economy. He says he would be more hawkish than the Fed and believes the Fed should be raising rates or should have raised them already.
Raghuram Rajan Former Governor of the Reserve Bank of India / Professor of Finance 10:03
Long rates climb on deficits and investment.
Long-term government bond yields are likely to keep rising because governments face persistent spending pressures from deficits, defense, and energy subsidies, while the world is competing for limited savings and investment needs will push real rates higher.
Raghuram Rajan Former Governor of the Reserve Bank of India / Professor of Finance 11:50
AI capex faces return and demand risk.
He warns that AI investment is becoming a risk area: massive spending on data centers and frontier models may not generate adequate returns if cheaper models are sufficient, and if compute demand falls data-center capacity can be pulled back quickly, while the real exposure is the equipment and chips already being bought.
Swarnim Wagle Finance Minister, Nepal 43:30
Nepal hydropower exports to India thriving.
Nepal's hydropower export story is intact and working: India has committed to buy up to 10,000 MW of electricity from Nepal over the next ten years, Nepal has already begun exporting around 1,600 MW, and the seasonal power-trade arrangement with India is functioning well, with surplus power available for export.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 28, 2026, features Raghuram Rajan, Swarnim Wagle discussing TLT, Global long-dated government bonds, AI data center and compute infrastructure, Nepal hydropower. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Raghuram Rajan, Swarnim Wagle  · Tickers: TLT, Global long-dated government bonds, AI data center and compute infrastructure, Nepal hydropower