Intel shares fall sharply following Q4 results

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 22, 2026 at 22:03  |  4:16  |  CNBC
Speakers
Jay Goldberg — CEO, Seaport Global
Brian Sullivan — Anchor, CNBC (Last Call / Power Lunch)

Summary

Intel shares fell after hours despite a top- and bottom-line beat, as weak guidance raised questions about the next quarter. Seaport Research analyst Jay Goldberg, who upgraded Intel to Buy this week, defended the call, citing customer enthusiasm for Panther Lake, expected share gains, new management, government support, and operating leverage. He attributed the revenue guide shortfall to an unprecedented memory shortage tied to AI buildout and said Intel can still recover as products ramp. The hosts noted the stock had already run nearly 50% into the print and trades at rich forward revenue multiples.

  • Intel reported Q4 results that beat top and bottom lines but issued weak forward guidance.
  • Intel shares fell after hours and were under pressure at session lows.
  • Jay Goldberg of Seaport Research recently upgraded Intel to Buy and remains optimistic.
  • Goldberg cited CES customer enthusiasm for Panther Lake chips and potential Intel share gains.
  • He also pointed to new CEO cost cuts, government investment, and operating leverage.
  • Goldberg attributed the revenue guide shortfall to memory supply constraints and March seasonality.
  • He said memory tightness is unprecedented and cited strength in SanDisk and Micron.
  • The host noted Intel had rallied nearly 50% into earnings and questioned valuation and recovery execution.
Ideas
Jay Goldberg CEO, Seaport Global 0:31
Intel buy on products and share gains
Jay Goldberg upgraded Intel to Buy this week after CES conversations with PC customers HP, Dell, ASUS and Lenovo showed unusually strong enthusiasm for Intel and its new Panther Lake chips. Although Intel's December quarter was strong and March guidance was weak on the top line, he views March as seasonally tough, expects the new products to drive numbers later in the year, and thinks Intel can regain much of the share it lost over the past decade. He also cites a new CEO making necessary cuts, government investment removing existential risk, and high operating leverage that could produce significant EPS upside if revenue recovers.
Jay Goldberg CEO, Seaport Global 2:00
Memory shortage benefits Micron and SanDisk
Memory is very tight because AI buildout is absorbing memory capacity at high ASPs, which benefits memory makers and is causing supply constraints across consumer electronics. He cites SanDisk and Micron as evidence of the tightness and calls the extent of the shortage unprecedented in at least 20 years.
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