Trade Ideas
Mispriced ETH ETF event skew
The market mispriced Ethereum options for the ETF event in May 2024. Skew was for downside, but the true risk was an approval surprise that would send ETH higher. Selling puts and buying calls (risk reversal) captured the asymmetry.
Long Brent for backwardation and asymmetry
Long Brent crude is attractive because the backwardation provides positive carry, and the asymmetric risk of a spike higher, given structural inventory draws and the potential for a sudden re-escalation, makes it a good trade.
Zero-cost WTI bear put spread
Implied volatility in WTI is very high, allowing a zero-cost 1x2 put spread (buy one higher-strike put, sell two lower-strike puts) to bet on a sharp move lower if a deal reopens Hormuz. The structure benefits from vol compression and the right tail of a crash.
Sell S&P call spreads in high vol
During a week of sideways price action in S&P 500 with elevated implied vol and extremely rich put skew, selling call spreads (sell ATM call, buy a cheaper call) was the right expression to harvest premium with limited risk.
Zero-cost USDJPY call ladder
A zero-cost 1x2 call ladder on USDJPY (buy 157.50 call, sell two 159.50 calls) profits from a grind higher in the pair, as 160 is a key intervention level. Asymmetry from the capped payoff and cheap premium due to high vol.
Japan equities: buy and forget
Japan's equity market is a long-term buy-and-forget position, supported by structural reforms, corporate governance improvements, and a semiconductor tailwind. The Nikkei is at 52-week highs and should be held.
Structural bull market in energy stocks
The energy sector is in a new structural bull market due to years of underinvestment and the geopolitical shift toward energy security. The recent pullback is a buying opportunity; XOP chart shows a breakout from a long base.
Gold in correction, avoid adding
Gold had a parabolic blowoff top after a two-year bull run and is now in a correction/consolidation phase. It cannot clear its 50-day MA or Fibonacci resistance. Investors should avoid adding exposure for now.
Gold miners could outperform gold
Gold miners may offer a place to hide relative to gold itself, as Newmont's earnings were solid and the group could grind higher even if gold stays in a choppy range.
Bitcoin rally is only oversold bounce
Bitcoin's rally is just an oversold bounce in a risk-on environment, not a new bull market. It has not cleared any major resistance levels and lacks the conviction seen in other risk assets.
This The Market Huddle video, published April 25, 2026,
features Bohan Jiang, Kevin Muir, Patrick Ceresna
discussing ETH, BNO, WTI, SPY, USD/JPY, EWJ, XOP, GLD, GDX, BTC.
10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Bohan Jiang,
Kevin Muir,
Patrick Ceresna
· Tickers:
ETH,
BNO,
WTI,
SPY,
USD/JPY,
EWJ,
XOP,
GLD,
GDX,
BTC