Should I use it or not? A user manual for the U-turn account for Korean retail investors in US stocks

“써볼까 말까 고민이신가요”...서학개미 유턴계좌 사용 설명서
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 07, 2026 at 08:48  |  1:10:07  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik presents a daily market briefing that mixes portfolio-management housekeeping with analysis of Korean and global news. The main investment themes are a continued focus on semiconductors and AI-memory demand, potential improvement in KOSDAQ market quality from stricter delisting rules, and a positive Korean equity setup tied to the new RIA tax-repatriation account. He also flags macro risks from record global debt, sticky long-term US yields, and fiscal dominance, while summarizing Nvidia's CES physical-AI push and AMD's competitive response.

  • Park Se-ik discussed long-term index investing in KOSPI and the S&P 500 and the difficulty of tolerating volatility.
  • He reported adding a semiconductor ETF and reiterated a near-term focus on semiconductors.
  • He highlighted Jensen Huang's memory-bottleneck comments and expected broader HBM, DRAM, and NAND demand.
  • He reviewed KOSDAQ delisting reforms, supporting removal of zombie companies while noting eased listing standards for core technology.
  • He covered record global debt and fiscal dominance, arguing that sticky long-term US yields can cap equity upside.
  • He explained the RIA tax exemption for selling overseas stocks and reinvesting in Korean equities, favoring Q1 use.
  • He summarized Nvidia's CES announcements on full-stack physical AI, autonomous driving, and Vera Rubin, plus AMD's competing AI chips.
  • He closed with a warning about fraudulent investment channels impersonating Chesley.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 6:00
Stay focused on semiconductors now
Park added a semiconductor ETF to the top portfolio and said the move worked, reinforcing his view that investors should concentrate on semiconductors for the time being.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 25:42
Long-term index investing yields 8-10%
Park said that simply investing in broad indices such as KOSPI or the S&P 500 has historically produced roughly 8-10% annualized returns. The main reason investors fail to capture this is volatility; holding through drawdowns rather than reacting to short-term moves is the key.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 25:42
Long-term index investing yields 8-10%
Park explained the new RIA account, which temporarily exempts capital gains tax on up to KRW 50m of overseas stock sales if the proceeds are reinvested in Korean stocks for at least one year. The exemption is 100% for Q1 2026, 80% for Q2, and 50% for H2. He recommended using it in Q1 for positions whose targets are met or whose upside is limited, and said the 2026 KOSPI outlook is positive on a semiconductor supercycle and government/value-up support, making increased long-term domestic equity exposure reasonable.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 33:19
KOSDAQ cleanup improves market credibility
Park discussed tighter KOSDAQ delisting rules: the market-cap threshold rises from KRW 4bn to KRW 15bn and will increase further through 2028, while listing reviews are eased for core technology sectors. He argued that removing zombie companies reduces manipulation and retail-investor harm, improving the market's credibility, though he did not give an outright buy call.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 36:59
AI memory demand broadens beyond HBM
Park highlighted Jensen Huang's warning that memory is the key bottleneck for AI infrastructure. As agentic AI and physical AI expand, memory bandwidth and capacity requirements rise, and demand should broaden from HBM into conventional DRAM and NAND; memory is becoming a core determinant of system performance, and memory/storage content per GPU should grow faster than GPU compute.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 48:02
High long-term yields cap equities
Park reviewed record global debt, now about 310% of GDP, driven increasingly by government borrowing. He said Fed rate cuts have not lowered long-term US yields, with 10-year and 30-year yields still around 4.1% and 4.7%, and that markets are pricing fiscal dominance and structurally higher inflation risk. If long-term yields do not fall, equity upside should remain capped.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 61:58
Nvidia expands into full-stack AI
Park summarized Nvidia's CES announcements: the company is moving from chip supplier to full-stack AI platform, with Vera Rubin offering 5x inference and 3.5x training performance and shipping to partners in H2; it is also expanding into autonomous driving and robotics, while AMD is countering with Helios and MI450. The setup is a watch item for Nvidia's platform leadership.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published January 07, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing SMH, SPY, EWY, KOSDAQ, AI memory semiconductors, TLT, NVDA. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: SMH, SPY, EWY, KOSDAQ, AI memory semiconductors, TLT, NVDA