Summary
Park Se-ik reviews Sandisk's booming earnings but warns that Chinese NAND competitors will pressure memory stocks, recommending investors exit Sandisk on rebounds. He also examines researcher Lee Eun-taek's report indicating strong ISM manufacturing expansion, suggesting the recent KOSPI sell-off is overdone and a rebound is imminent, and advises buying or holding through the volatility.
- Sandisk reported huge margins and revenue growth, but the stock plunged on fears of margin decline and competition.
- Chinese memory makers Changxing Memory and YMTC threaten NAND market share and pricing, with YMTC's upcoming IPO a looming negative catalyst.
- Memory stocks like Sandisk and Kioxia should be sold on bounces, as the cycle turns and earnings peak.
- Lee Eun-taek's research shows ISM Manufacturing PMI hit a 4-year high, signaling continued economic expansion and strong restocking demand.
- Historically, KOSPI rarely falls over 20% during ISM expansions, making the recent drop an anomaly driven by deleveraging.
- The current supply zone (6,700–7,100) is a hurdle, but foreign buying and October earnings should push the index higher.
- Investors are advised to buy the dip, hold through the noise, and avoid panic selling at breakeven.