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Berkshire CEO points out AI bubble theory, semiconductor stocks plummet and big tech stocks surge / Will foreign buying continue with 200 trillion won expansion of National Growth Fund?

[July 16 #BeforeMarketOpen] Berkshire CEO points out AI bubble theory, semiconductor stocks plummet and big tech stocks surge / Will foreign buying continue with 200 trillion won expansion of National Growth Fund?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 16, 2026 at 00:47  |  3:02:45  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Ha Chang-bong — CEO
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist
Kim Tae-seong — Division Head, Xangle

Summary

The panel discusses the recent volatility in the semiconductor sector, driven by concerns over AI capex delays and potential supply gluts, though most experts view these fears as overblown and see the dip as a buying opportunity. They also highlight alternative investment themes such as ESS and batteries benefiting from data center power needs, cosmetics OEM/ODM companies showing strong earnings, and Korean shipbuilders gaining traction from US naval outsourcing prospects.

  • Semiconductor stocks faced sharp declines due to options hedging and fears of a supply glut from China's CXMT.
  • Experts argue that the memory cycle remains tight until 2027, making the current dip an attractive entry point.
  • Big tech companies are expected to maintain strong capex, supporting the long-term AI infrastructure thesis.
  • ESS and battery makers are securing massive orders to meet the surging power demands of AI data centers.
  • Cosmetics OEM/ODM companies are recommended as safe havens due to strong export earnings and high utilization rates.
  • Korean shipbuilders are drawing attention following Trump's comments on rebuilding the US Navy and potential outsourcing.
Ideas
Department stores show resilience on strong earnings.
Department store stocks are holding up well despite the semiconductor rally, supported by strong earnings momentum that provides a solid floor for their share prices.
Steelmakers offer low PBR and new growth.
Steelmakers have low PBRs and are actively expanding into new growth businesses like secondary batteries, AI data centers, and space, making them potential beneficiaries of the government's value-up program.
Big tech capex expectations remain strongly valid.
Major US big tech companies are expected to significantly increase their capex in 2027-2028, keeping their earnings and investment expectations valid despite short-term market volatility.
Custom AI chips will boost Apple's stock.
Apple's move to develop its own AI chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia is a positive catalyst for its stock, as it strengthens its internal hardware ecosystem.
Custom chip trend benefits design house Gaonchips.
Companies like Gaonchips are benefiting from the broader trend of big tech companies developing their own custom AI chips.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 54:42
Refining margins improve on high summer demand.
Refining margins are expected to improve due to high factory utilization rates, low global inventories, and strong summer driving demand, making oil refiners attractive ahead of earnings.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 56:28
Memory supply glut fears are highly overblown.
Fears of a memory supply glut caused by China's CXMT are overblown given the 2-5 year technology gap in advanced DRAM and HBM, making the current low valuations of memory makers highly attractive.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 63:23
Samsung P5 orders boost semiconductor equipment stocks.
Companies providing clean room infrastructure and front-end equipment will benefit significantly from Samsung's upcoming P5 equipment orders, which are being accelerated to meet AI demand.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 68:37
Data center power needs drive ESS demand.
Battery makers are securing massive solar-linked ESS projects to meet the surging power demands of AI data centers, highlighted by LG Energy Solution winning a huge order from Google.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 94:15
Cosmetics OEM/ODM show strong market resilience.
Cosmetics OEM/ODM companies are showing strong trends and breaking out of resistance levels, demonstrating resilience and offering a safe haven in a weak broader market.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 100:58
Data center power shortages benefit fuel cells.
Fuel cell companies are benefiting from the growing need for alternative power sources for data centers amid increasing environmental regulations and power shortages.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 101:21
Select semiconductor equipment stocks maintain strong uptrends.
Select semiconductor equipment stocks are maintaining their uptrends and approaching new highs despite broader market weakness, indicating strong underlying momentum.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 118:38
HFR benefits from government AI-RAN project.
HFR was selected for the government's AI-RAN project, which is essential for building the network infrastructure required for physical AI data collection.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 121:48
Medical tourism drives PharmaResearch's strong growth.
PharmaResearch is experiencing strong exports and a robust domestic recovery driven by an influx of inbound medical tourism for cosmetic procedures.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 128:42
US naval outsourcing benefits Korean shipbuilders.
Korean shipbuilders are poised to benefit from Trump's comments on rebuilding the US Navy and the potential outsourcing of naval construction to Korean yards.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 148:01
AI data centers drive massive ESS demand.
ESS and battery material companies are direct beneficiaries of the massive power infrastructure required for AI data centers, as evidenced by recent large-scale ESS orders.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 157:05
Focus on low-PER semiconductor equipment stocks.
Investors should focus on semiconductor equipment companies with strong earnings and a PER under 40, taking partial profits on spikes to manage volatility.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 160:30
Cosmetics OEM/ODM provide strong portfolio hedging.
Cosmetics OEM/ODM stocks offer a better portfolio hedge than financials in the current market, backed by strong earnings visibility and high factory utilization rates.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 165:01
Hyundai Motor dip offers attractive year-end entry.
The recent price drop in Hyundai Motor offers an attractive entry point for year-end, driven by its long-term potential in physical AI and robotics.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 172:44
Celltrion is the safest bio sector bet.
Celltrion is the safest bet in the bio sector due to its record quarterly earnings and strong sales of biosimilars in the US and Europe.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 16, 2026, features Ha Chang-bong, Lee Ju-hyeon, Lee Kwon-hee, Kim Tae-seong discussing 004170.KS, 069960.KS, 005490.KS, 004020.KS, 001430.KS, 306200.KS, AMZN, META, GOOGL, MSFT, AAPL, 399720.KQ, 078930.KS, 010950.KS, 096770.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, MU, 036200.KQ, 084370.KQ, 083450.KQ, 240810.KQ, 045100.KQ, 066970.KS, 006400.KS, 161890.KS, 439090.KQ, 336260.KS, 095610.KQ, 319660.KQ, 230240.KQ, 214450.KQ, 042660.KS, 329180.KS, 078600.KQ, 089030.KQ, 192820.KS, 005380.KS, 068270.KS. 20 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ha Chang-bong, Lee Ju-hyeon, Lee Kwon-hee, Kim Tae-seong  · Tickers: 004170.KS, 069960.KS, 005490.KS, 004020.KS, 001430.KS, 306200.KS, AMZN, META, GOOGL, MSFT, AAPL, 399720.KQ, 078930.KS, 010950.KS, 096770.KS, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, MU, 036200.KQ, 084370.KQ, 083450.KQ, 240810.KQ, 045100.KQ, 066970.KS, 006400.KS, 161890.KS, 439090.KQ, 336260.KS, 095610.KQ, 319660.KQ, 230240.KQ, 214450.KQ, 042660.KS, 329180.KS, 078600.KQ, 089030.KQ, 192820.KS, 005380.KS, 068270.KS