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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour on new KPOW index, regulating prediction markets & insider trading concerns

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 24, 2026 at 13:04  |  7:35  |  CNBC
Speakers
Tarek Mansour — CEO and Co-Founder, Kalshi
Joe Kernen — Co-Anchor, Squawk Box

Summary

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour joins Squawk Box to discuss the company's new American Power Index (KPOW), which aggregates prediction-market data into a single political power tracker. He explains the methodology, current Republican lean, and how the index can be traded. The conversation also covers prediction-market regulation, insider trading safeguards, and Kalshi's regulatory-first stance versus offshore competitors.

  • Kalshi launched the KPOW index to provide an objective, tradeable measure of the US political balance of power.
  • The index weights current seat holdings and prediction-market forecasts for Senate, House, Presidency, and Supreme Court.
  • KPOW currently reads +3 Republican, reflecting a slight tilt toward the GOP after recent events.
  • Tarek Mansour details Kalshi's surveillance and self-regulation to combat insider trading.
  • He contrasts Kalshi's regulated approach with unregulated offshore prediction markets.
Ideas
Tarek Mansour CEO and Co-Founder, Kalshi 1:12
Prediction-market index tracks political power shifts
Kalshi's American Power Index (KPOW) aggregates hundreds of prediction markets on political races and margin of victory to produce a single objective number for the balance of power between Republicans and Democrats. Currently the index reads +3 Republican, indicating a slight lean toward Republicans, and it oscillates with major events, providing a new tradeable tracker akin to an S&P for politics.
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This CNBC video, published June 24, 2026, features Tarek Mansour discussing Kalshi American Power Index (KPOW). 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Tarek Mansour  · Tickers: Kalshi American Power Index (KPOW)