US Treasury curve Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views

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09:50
Sep 16
Frederick Duke Head of Macroeconomic Research and Strategy, Pictet Bloomberg Markets
Watch curve opportunities after central bank meetings
Market pricing of Fed and other central-bank hikes has become extreme, while inflation momentum is not broad and labor signals are mixed. If economies stall and central banks cannot hike as much as priced, opportunities should appear along government bond curves after the Fed and Bank of England meetings; oil remains the key wildcard, and if hyperscaler capex does not slow the long end stays vulnerable.
MED
21:00
Jan 01
Bruno Garcia Fundador e CIO, TRUXT Investimentos Market Makers
Short US Treasuries on Fed governance risk
He has a lightly short position on the US yield curve due to greater risk in Fed governance and independence, which can raise term premium and yields.
MED

About US Treasury curve Investor Commentary

Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks US Treasury curve across 2 sources: 0 bullish vs 1 bearish calls from 2 authors. Historical directional balance: -50% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 2 total trade ideas tracked. Past 7 days, before deduplication: 1 other directions. Latest voices: Frederick Duke, Bruno Garcia.