10-Year Treasury Notes Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views

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23:36
May 13
David Rosenberg President, Rosenberg Research The David Lin Report
Long Treasuries as Fed cuts.
Rosenberg expects a second-half recession to force the Fed to cut rates, similar to 2019. He argues most of the rise in yields has been term premium and policy/trade/fiscal uncertainty rather than inflation or growth, so if term premium compresses the 10-year Treasury yield can fall to 3.75% and then 3-3.5% over the next 12 months. He says the maligned Treasury market should deliver equity-like returns.
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About 10-Year Treasury Notes Investor Commentary

Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks 10-Year Treasury Notes across 1 sources: 1 bullish vs 0 bearish calls from 1 authors. Historical directional balance: 100% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 1 total trade idea tracked. Latest voices: David Rosenberg.