Will Kennedy
EMEA News Director, Bloomberg
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 06
$108.77
+29.7%
Brent is past $87; Qatari Energy Minister warns risks are building and oil could hit $150 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The conflict has moved from "risk" to "reality" with physical disruptions (Strait closed). The US SPR release and waivers for Indian/Russian oil are reactive band-aids that confirm the severity of the shortage. LONG. Supply is physically constrained while war continues. Ceasefire announcement or massive coordinated global SPR release crashing price temporarily.
Brent is past $87; Qatari Energy Minister warns risks are building and oil could hit $150 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The conflict has moved from "risk" to "reality" with physical disruptions (Strait closed). The US SPR release and waivers for Indian/Russian oil are reactive band-aids that confirm the severity of the shortage. LONG. Supply is physically constrained while war continues. Ceasefire announcement or massive coordinated global SPR release crashing price temporarily.
Energy
Long
Mar 06
$56.57
+3.8%
Brent is past $87; Qatari Energy Minister warns risks are building and oil could hit $150 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The conflict has moved from "risk" to "reality" with physical disruptions (Strait closed). The US SPR release and waivers for Indian/Russian oil are reactive band-aids that confirm the severity of the shortage. LONG. Supply is physically constrained while war continues. Ceasefire announcement or massive coordinated global SPR release crashing price temporarily.
Brent is past $87; Qatari Energy Minister warns risks are building and oil could hit $150 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The conflict has moved from "risk" to "reality" with physical disruptions (Strait closed). The US SPR release and waivers for Indian/Russian oil are reactive band-aids that confirm the severity of the shortage. LONG. Supply is physically constrained while war continues. Ceasefire announcement or massive coordinated global SPR release crashing price temporarily.
Energy
Long
Mar 03
$246.07
-4.3%
Qatar has halted its LNG export plant (20% of global supply). European gas futures are up 30-38%. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. The world has lost a massive chunk of natural gas supply overnight. Europe and Asia must scramble for alternatives. The US is a net exporter and geographically isolated from the conflict, making US gas (UNG) and exporters (Cheniere - LNG) the primary beneficiaries of the supply vacuum. LONG. This is a structural supply shock that cannot be fixed quickly. US government could restrict exports to keep domestic prices low; warm weather could dampen demand.
Qatar has halted its LNG export plant (20% of global supply). European gas futures are up 30-38%. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. The world has lost a massive chunk of natural gas supply overnight. Europe and Asia must scramble for alternatives. The US is a net exporter and geographically isolated from the conflict, making US gas (UNG) and exporters (Cheniere - LNG) the primary beneficiaries of the supply vacuum. LONG. This is a structural supply shock that cannot be fixed quickly. US government could restrict exports to keep domestic prices low; warm weather could dampen demand.
Energy
Long
Mar 03
$12.28
-4.2%
Qatar has halted its LNG export plant (20% of global supply). European gas futures are up 30-38%. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. The world has lost a massive chunk of natural gas supply overnight. Europe and Asia must scramble for alternatives. The US is a net exporter and geographically isolated from the conflict, making US gas (UNG) and exporters (Cheniere - LNG) the primary beneficiaries of the supply vacuum. LONG. This is a structural supply shock that cannot be fixed quickly. US government could restrict exports to keep domestic prices low; warm weather could dampen demand.
Qatar has halted its LNG export plant (20% of global supply). European gas futures are up 30-38%. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. The world has lost a massive chunk of natural gas supply overnight. Europe and Asia must scramble for alternatives. The US is a net exporter and geographically isolated from the conflict, making US gas (UNG) and exporters (Cheniere - LNG) the primary beneficiaries of the supply vacuum. LONG. This is a structural supply shock that cannot be fixed quickly. US government could restrict exports to keep domestic prices low; warm weather could dampen demand.
Energy
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