MU’s HBM is sold out through 2026; customers are only receiving 50–66% of their requirements, and hyperscalers (MSFT, META, AMZN, AAPL) explicitly cite a prolonged memory crisis. This structural shortage drives pricing power and revenue upside. Management guided ~$33.5B next quarter (a $10B sequential jump), and 196% YoY revenue growth shows acceleration, not peaking. The market is still underpricing the duration of the HBM cycle. With S&P 100 inclusion forcing index fund buying and analyst targets rising (DA Davidson $1,000), the path of least resistance is higher into June earnings. Semiconductor cyclicality is real; MU has already run 8x in the past year; any demand slowdown from hyperscalers or a shift in capex could reverse gains. Parabolic moves often correct sharply.
MU’s HBM is sold out through 2026; customers are only receiving 50–66% of their requirements, and hyperscalers (MSFT, META, AMZN, AAPL) explicitly cite a prolonged memory crisis. This structural shortage drives pricing power and revenue upside. Management guided ~$33.5B next quarter (a $10B sequential jump), and 196% YoY revenue growth shows acceleration, not peaking. The market is still underpricing the duration of the HBM cycle. With S&P 100 inclusion forcing index fund buying and analyst targets rising (DA Davidson $1,000), the path of least resistance is higher into June earnings. Semiconductor cyclicality is real; MU has already run 8x in the past year; any demand slowdown from hyperscalers or a shift in capex could reverse gains. Parabolic moves often correct sharply.