u/Soft_Table_8892

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls 3 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 3
Best Calls
WDAY long +14.2%
CRM long +1.1%
Worst Calls
DOCN short -101.5%
Most Mentioned
CRM ×1
WDAY ×1
DOCN ×1
Recent Calls
DOCN short 2 months ago
WDAY long 2 months ago
CRM long 2 months ago
Win Rate 67% Long 2 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d
Average Return -28.7% Long Return +7.6% Short Return -101.5%
Average Return
7d -4.7%
30d -7.7%
90d
Result
Result
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Side
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Opened
Entry
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 01
$188.50
+1.1%
Salesforce scored a near-perfect 4.0 on the AI resilience framework based on its anonymized 10-K. Despite being highly resilient to AI disruption (system of record, high user stakes), the stock is down 28% YTD in an indiscriminate SaaS selloff. The market has unfairly punished CRM, creating a value opportunity for a structurally defensible business. The 10-K language may overstate the business's moat, and the AI scoring model might have inherent biases.
Salesforce scored a near-perfect 4.0 on the AI resilience framework based on its anonymized 10-K. Despite being highly resilient to AI disruption (system of record, high user stakes), the stock is down 28% YTD in an indiscriminate SaaS selloff. The market has unfairly punished CRM, creating a value opportunity for a structurally defensible business. The 10-K language may overstate the business's moat, and the AI scoring model might have inherent biases.
AI/Semi
Short
Apr 01
$87.25
-101.5%
DigitalOcean scored a very low 1.67 on the AI resilience framework, indicating high vulnerability. Despite this high structural risk to AI disruption, the stock is up 73% YTD. The market is "sleeping" on DOCN's AI exposure, making it overvalued and ripe for a correction. The framework may miss product complexity or competitive dynamics that justify the current valuation.
DigitalOcean scored a very low 1.67 on the AI resilience framework, indicating high vulnerability. Despite this high structural risk to AI disruption, the stock is up 73% YTD. The market is "sleeping" on DOCN's AI exposure, making it overvalued and ripe for a correction. The framework may miss product complexity or competitive dynamics that justify the current valuation.
NeoCloud
Long
Apr 01
$130.40
+14.2%
Workday scored 3.67 for AI resilience, identical to CrowdStrike's score. While CrowdStrike is only down 13%, Workday is down 37% YTD, showing a massive divergence in market treatment for the same risk profile. WDAY is mispriced relative to its actual AI disruption risk and offers a strong value entry point. AI models could eventually replicate HR systems, though organizational inertia currently protects it.
Workday scored 3.67 for AI resilience, identical to CrowdStrike's score. While CrowdStrike is only down 13%, Workday is down 37% YTD, showing a massive divergence in market treatment for the same risk profile. WDAY is mispriced relative to its actual AI disruption risk and offers a strong value entry point. AI models could eventually replicate HR systems, though organizational inertia currently protects it.
AI/Semi
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