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u/Safety-International

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-7.6%
Calls 2 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
OXY Long -12.9%
XLE Long -2.4%
Most Mentioned
XLE ×1
OXY ×1
Recent Calls
XLE Long 3 months ago
OXY Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 2 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 50%
90d 0%
Average Return -7.6% Long Return -7.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -5.9%
30d -2.0%
90d -16.2%
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Result
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Side
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Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 03
$62.96
-12.9%
OXY's current $62B market cap implies a profit of only ~$11/barrel on its 5 billion barrels of reserves, pricing oil at roughly $60/barrel. Oil is expected to stay above $90 due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts, meaning OXY will generate significantly more cash flow than currently priced in. Go long OXY, as every $11 increase in crude above $60 theoretically adds another multiple to the company's intrinsic value. A sudden resolution to global conflicts causing oil prices to crash below $60, or unexpected increases in extraction costs.
OXY's current $62B market cap implies a profit of only ~$11/barrel on its 5 billion barrels of reserves, pricing oil at roughly $60/barrel. Oil is expected to stay above $90 due to ongoing geopolitical conflicts, meaning OXY will generate significantly more cash flow than currently priced in. Go long OXY, as every $11 increase in crude above $60 theoretically adds another multiple to the company's intrinsic value. A sudden resolution to global conflicts causing oil prices to crash below $60, or unexpected increases in extraction costs.
Oil & Gas
Long
Apr 03
$59.25
-2.4%
The author is "all in on oil" and holds a basket of energy tickers including XOM, OXY, OIH, SM, and DVN. The market is not pricing in pessimistic geopolitical scenarios or escalations, creating a systemic undervaluation across the oil sector. Go long the broader energy sector as a macro play on sustained high oil prices ($90+). Macroeconomic recession destroying oil demand, or rapid de-escalation of global wars.
The author is "all in on oil" and holds a basket of energy tickers including XOM, OXY, OIH, SM, and DVN. The market is not pricing in pessimistic geopolitical scenarios or escalations, creating a systemic undervaluation across the oil sector. Go long the broader energy sector as a macro play on sustained high oil prices ($90+). Macroeconomic recession destroying oil demand, or rapid de-escalation of global wars.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 2 of 2 calls · sorted by mentions

u/Safety-International has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: XLE, OXY.