u/Redditisnotmycup

Reddit r/ASX_Bets
· tracked since Jan 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-25.9%
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 100%
Average Return -25.9% Long Return -25.9% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -5.2%
30d -9.4%
90d +37.6%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
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Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jan 23
$20.03
-25.9%
LUNR undervalued post-Lanteris, LTV award catalyst, short squeeze
The author argues LUNR is undervalued because its January 13, 2026 acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems quadrupled pro-forma revenue from $226M to over $850M and vertically integrates satellite buses for its $4.82B NSNS contract. They expect a catalyst from a NASA $4.6B Lunar Terrain Vehicle award expected Q1 2026 and March earnings, with 23% short interest potentially squeezing shares toward a $64.22 DCF-based intrinsic value over a 3-6 month horizon. The main stated risk is that NASA delays or splits the LTV award, causing dilution and cash burn concerns to push the stock toward a $9.50-$12.50 Advent deal floor.
Space
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u/Redditisnotmycup has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: LUNR, KAU.ASX.

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