u/Potato_Masher_69420

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls 3 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 3
Best Calls
ADBE long +13.9%
LTH long +12.7%
Worst Calls
ACN long -0.8%
Most Mentioned
ADBE ×1
ACN ×1
LTH ×1
Recent Calls
ACN long 1 month ago
ADBE long 1 month ago
LTH long 1 month ago
Win Rate 67% Long 3 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 67%
90d
Average Return +8.6% Long Return +8.6% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +6.7%
30d +5.2%
90d
Result
Result
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 12
$179.46
-0.8%
Accenture is trading at a P/FCF of ~8.94, roughly 45-55% below its historical 20-30x range, and the stock is down 30%. The severe multiple compression offers a rare entry point into a premium IT consulting firm that typically commands a high growth premium. Accumulating shares at a steep discount to historical cash flow multiples. Prolonged enterprise IT spending slowdowns or structural shifts in consulting demand due to AI.
Accenture is trading at a P/FCF of ~8.94, roughly 45-55% below its historical 20-30x range, and the stock is down 30%. The severe multiple compression offers a rare entry point into a premium IT consulting firm that typically commands a high growth premium. Accumulating shares at a steep discount to historical cash flow multiples. Prolonged enterprise IT spending slowdowns or structural shifts in consulting demand due to AI.
Other
Long
Apr 12
$225.33
+13.9%
Adobe is trading at a P/FCF of ~9.0 compared to a 10-year average of ~25.4, representing a ~65% discount, and the stock is down 30%. The market is heavily discounting SaaS/software due to speculative fears about AI (like Claude) disrupting their moats, creating an oversold condition where fundamentals haven't actually deteriorated yet. Buying the dip on a historically strong free cash flow generator at a decade-low valuation multiple. AI tools genuinely erode Adobe's pricing power and subscriber base, making the historical multiple irrelevant.
Adobe is trading at a P/FCF of ~9.0 compared to a 10-year average of ~25.4, representing a ~65% discount, and the stock is down 30%. The market is heavily discounting SaaS/software due to speculative fears about AI (like Claude) disrupting their moats, creating an oversold condition where fundamentals haven't actually deteriorated yet. Buying the dip on a historically strong free cash flow generator at a decade-low valuation multiple. AI tools genuinely erode Adobe's pricing power and subscriber base, making the historical multiple irrelevant.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 07
$28.20
+12.7%
LTH has demonstrated massive growth in net income and profit margins (3% to 12%) from 2023-2025, alongside a $500M buyback program and 15% insider ownership. Despite strong growth and high-end market positioning (30% of clubs have waitlists), LTH trades at a P/E of 16.76, significantly lower than peer PLNT's P/E of 28, creating a clear valuation gap. Go long on LTH for multiple expansion and continued fundamental growth in the K-shaped economy. A severe macroeconomic downturn could impact high-end consumer spending; earnings drag from new location openings in late 2026.
LTH has demonstrated massive growth in net income and profit margins (3% to 12%) from 2023-2025, alongside a $500M buyback program and 15% insider ownership. Despite strong growth and high-end market positioning (30% of clubs have waitlists), LTH trades at a P/E of 16.76, significantly lower than peer PLNT's P/E of 28, creating a clear valuation gap. Go long on LTH for multiple expansion and continued fundamental growth in the K-shaped economy. A severe macroeconomic downturn could impact high-end consumer spending; earnings drag from new location openings in late 2026.
Consumer
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