u/No_Presentation9490

The author bought in-the-money puts because the 10-year Treasury yield spiked hard, treating rising yields as a bearish catalyst for equities. They note their typical scalp/short notional is about 1.5-2 million when they judge a trade high-probability, implying conviction in this short. The stated mechanism is a yield-driven equity decline; no explicit downside target or exit horizon is given.

The author asserts gold always crashes alongside the stock market first, then bounces, and recommends buying LEAPS calls before that bounce. The causal mechanism is a temporary correlated selloff in gold during equity drawdowns followed by a recovery. The catalyst is the anticipated bounce after the crash. The main risk is that the claimed pattern may not repeat and the timing of the bounce is unspecified.

The author observes that Oracle has broken below its earnings candle anchored VWAP and aftermarket 10-day SMA, calling it 'stinky'. The mechanism is technical weakness signaling further downside. No target or timeframe is given.

The author argues upcoming economic data will be so weak that the Fed is forced to cut rates, because without cuts Anthropic and OpenAI cannot IPO and Republicans cannot win the midterms. The mechanism is that rate cuts would boost equity valuations, particularly rate-sensitive growth/tech names. The catalyst is the upcoming data release, with FedWatch currently at 0% cut odds that the author expects to shift. Main risk is that the Fed does not cut and data does not force their hand.

The author claims semiconductor stocks are being aggressively bought right now, citing crazy volume, a bullish RSI divergence and the 50-day moving average on SOXX as evidence. The mechanism is technical: heavy volume plus bullish momentum divergence signals institutional accumulation, supporting further upside in the semiconductor ETF. No explicit catalyst or time horizon is given, and the main risk is that technical signals can fail or reverse.

CMCSA is oversold on monthly, weekly, daily, 2h, 1h, and 1‑minute RSI; dividend yield is 6% with a 26% payout ratio making a cut “extremely low to impossible” before next quarter. Extreme overselling creates a high probability of a short‑term bounce (mean reversion) within one quarter, providing a quick $0.50 scalp on 2,000 shares. The author is betting that the stock will recover at least $0.50 from $21.96 before the next earnings report, using dividend safety and technical exhaustion as triggers. Further downside momentum (falling knife), dividend cut/suspension if fundamentals deteriorate, or interest rates making the 6% yield less attractive vs. money market.