CMCSA is oversold on monthly, weekly, daily, 2h, 1h, and 1‑minute RSI; dividend yield is 6% with a 26% payout ratio making a cut “extremely low to impossible” before next quarter. Extreme overselling creates a high probability of a short‑term bounce (mean reversion) within one quarter, providing a quick $0.50 scalp on 2,000 shares. The author is betting that the stock will recover at least $0.50 from $21.96 before the next earnings report, using dividend safety and technical exhaustion as triggers. Further downside momentum (falling knife), dividend cut/suspension if fundamentals deteriorate, or interest rates making the 6% yield less attractive vs. money market.
CMCSA is oversold on monthly, weekly, daily, 2h, 1h, and 1‑minute RSI; dividend yield is 6% with a 26% payout ratio making a cut “extremely low to impossible” before next quarter. Extreme overselling creates a high probability of a short‑term bounce (mean reversion) within one quarter, providing a quick $0.50 scalp on 2,000 shares. The author is betting that the stock will recover at least $0.50 from $21.96 before the next earnings report, using dividend safety and technical exhaustion as triggers. Further downside momentum (falling knife), dividend cut/suspension if fundamentals deteriorate, or interest rates making the 6% yield less attractive vs. money market.