Calls
1
u/Motorbarge
Reddit r/stocks
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+173.3%
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jan 21
$4.19
+173.3%
Motorbarge argues that Sellas Life Sciences' Phase 3 REGAL trial event timing is bullish: if only about 10 of the 60 deaths by January 2025 occurred in the treatment arm versus about 50 expected in control, the treatment arm is surviving many years longer than the historical control median. The causal mechanism is that delayed mortality in the treatment arm would imply a strong survival benefit, which could support a positive REGAL outcome for SLS. The catalyst is the trial's event accrual/readout, with 60 deaths reported by January 2025 and 80 not yet reached. The main stated caveat is that the conclusion relies on assumptions of exponential survival, about a 7-month control median, and an October 2023 enrollment midpoint.
Pharma & Biotech
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u/Motorbarge has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since January 2026. Most covered: SLS.
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