u/creemeeseason

Author holds HTLD calls and expects the company to benefit when contract rates rise, which generally follow the spot market. He views HTLD as having higher upside but requiring a longer timeframe, so he chose June-dated calls.

The author argues that semi-truck sales being reported lower is being misinterpreted as a sign trucking remains dead, while spot rates are actually spiking even with volumes down after a two-year freight recession. He expects trucking names to surge once a tariff ruling arrives and sees Knight-Swift (KNX) as the most exposed to spot rates. He added February calls on KNX, so the trade is a bullish options position intended to profit if KNX shares rise into February. Reported returns track the underlying asset, not option P&L.

The author sees American Express as a steady compounder that never becomes extremely cheap or expensive, grinding out 10-15% annually. Its built-in inflation hedge makes it a perfect long-term anchor position to buy on dips and hold for decades.