NextPower holds ~30% global solar tracker share, has $1.2B cash, zero debt, $5.8B signed backlog, and earned 25% ROIC. At 15.9x forward earnings and 45% below peak, the market is pricing in stagnation while backlog and new storage/eBOS lines grow. The core tracker business alone supports the valuation; storage and eBOS are nearly free call options. 45X tax credits and tariff recovery make up ~42% of recent EBITDA; policy changes or softer international demand could hurt earnings.
NextPower holds ~30% global solar tracker share, has $1.2B cash, zero debt, $5.8B signed backlog, and earned 25% ROIC. At 15.9x forward earnings and 45% below peak, the market is pricing in stagnation while backlog and new storage/eBOS lines grow. The core tracker business alone supports the valuation; storage and eBOS are nearly free call options. 45X tax credits and tariff recovery make up ~42% of recent EBITDA; policy changes or softer international demand could hurt earnings.