Calls
16
#719
Alpha Score 43.7
tyler_neville_
Macro trader
Win Rate
37.5%
return
+0.8%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 07
$427.65
-7.2%
The author endorses a stagflation narrative where record debt and forced rate cuts will make real assets like gold perform well.
The author endorses a stagflation narrative where record debt and forced rate cuts will make real assets like gold perform well.
Commodities
Long
Mar 23
$86.35
-5.2%
With market expectations for a rate hike collapsing from 90% to 0%, the contrarian opportunity is to go long duration/easing trades after weak hands were shaken out.
With market expectations for a rate hike collapsing from 90% to 0%, the contrarian opportunity is to go long duration/easing trades after weak hands were shaken out.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jun 26
$298.91
-2.8%
As money exits large-cap tech, a replay of the post-2000 playbook is possible: capital rotates broadly into small caps that are trading at washed-out valuations. High dispersion and low implied correlation support a rotational bull market in smaller, more cyclical names.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jun 26
$68.22
-1.1%
Money is rotating out of high-flying growth/meme stocks and into old economy sectors. Industrials and banks are making new highs, credit spreads remain tight, and the policy setup is threading the needle without a systemic crisis. These cyclical old-school sectors are the place to be.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 26
$1127.69
+2.8%
Healthcare innovation is finally accelerating after a lost decade. Eli Lilly is leading with GLP-1 drugs and a new single-shot therapy that permanently lowers cholesterol, representing genuine medical breakthroughs that should drive long-term growth.
GLP-1 / Obesity
Long
Jun 26
$52.36
+10.6%
Peak hawkishness is fading; the market priced in too many rate hikes while break-evens collapsed. The dollar looks toppy and precious metals were annihilated by extreme narratives. The debasement trade, i.e. precious metals, is now good value as all the overly bearish positioning reverses.
Commodities
Long
Jun 26
$184.12
-6.1%
Money is rotating out of high-flying growth/meme stocks and into old economy sectors. Industrials and banks are making new highs, credit spreads remain tight, and the policy setup is threading the needle without a systemic crisis. These cyclical old-school sectors are the place to be.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 19
$66.80
-4.2%
AI capex cycle is fully intact with massive spending through 2030. High-yield credit spreads are not budging, providing free-money financing. Hyperscaler cash flows are strained, but money is rotating to AI bottleneck stocks (semiconductor equipment, memory, etc.) that are ripping higher. The trend is set to continue until credit spreads blow out.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 12
$737.76
+3.3%
The VIX curve has inverted, indicating everyone is overhedged and scared. This historically is a strong contrary indicator; it is the time to buy risk assets. Centralized asset management and systematic flows make this pattern repeatable.
Equity Indexes
Short
May 21
$83.65
+2.2%
Persistent inflation above 3.5% and soon above 4%, structural damage from energy price spikes, and lack of meaningful decline in inflation until back half of the year support short bond positioning. This was the highest conviction trade over the last few weeks, executed via TLT puts.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 21
$59.95
+8.1%
US oil and gas companies are printing cash from higher oil prices, have improved balance sheets, and are buying back stock, making the sector a strong performer. The strategic reserve drain and geopolitical risks support elevated oil prices, benefiting XLE.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 09
$231.73
-2.5%
The author is explicitly bullish on the autonomous defense sector due to a massive projected budget increase, framing it as a national security imperative and long-term macro theme.
The author is explicitly bullish on the autonomous defense sector due to a massive projected budget increase, framing it as a national security imperative and long-term macro theme.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 05
$85.41
-0.0%
Crowded hedge fund positioning is causing an unwind in Consumer Staples (seen in call skew), providing a short-term tactical opportunity to fade the move and buy the sector.
Crowded hedge fund positioning is causing an unwind in Consumer Staples (seen in call skew), providing a short-term tactical opportunity to fade the move and buy the sector.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 05
$58.30
-1.7%
The author believes the popular carry trade (e.g., short JPY) is at risk of unwinding due to rising foreign exchange volatility, implying a potential strengthening of funding currencies like the Japanese Yen.
The author believes the popular carry trade (e.g., short JPY) is at risk of unwinding due to rising foreign exchange volatility, implying a potential strengthening of funding currencies like the Japanese Yen.
FX & Currencies
Long
Feb 19
$118.50
-15.1%
The author predicts an imminent government stimulus in the form of a home buying credit, which would act as a direct catalyst for homebuilder stocks.
The author predicts an imminent government stimulus in the form of a home buying credit, which would act as a direct catalyst for homebuilder stocks.
Thematic ETFs
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tyler_neville_ has 16 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 15 tickers since November 2025. Win rate 38% across 16 evaluated calls, average return +0.8%. Ranked #719 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GOLD, TLT, LLY.
