tyler_neville_ 5.0 50 ideas
After 1 day
75%winrate
+1.5% avg
21W / 7L · 28/42 ideas
After 1 week
61%winrate
+0.7% avg
17W / 11L · 28/42 ideas
After 1 month
71%winrate
+1.5% avg
15W / 6L · 21/42 ideas
By sector
ETF
35 ideas
+0.7%
currency
5 ideas
index
5 ideas
+7.8%
Commodity
2 ideas
+8.0%
Crypto
2 ideas
-1.6%
Stock
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
VIX
5 ideas
100% W
+7.8%
TLT
5 ideas
100% W
+3.9%
GLD
4 ideas
100% W
+7.3%
JPY
3 ideas
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SPY
3 ideas
100% W
+0.4%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
GOLD LONG
+11.8%
1. THE FACT: The speaker states that governments will solve large-scale problems with inflationary policies, such as low...
Dec 31
XHB LONG
+9.2%
1. THE FACT: The speaker anticipates "epic" new housing policies ("acronyms") aimed at stimulating demand for Millennial...
Jan 08
VIX LONG
+7.8%
The author expects volatility to remain elevated or rise further, breaking its historical mean-reverting pattern, due to...
Mar 05
Worst calls
XHB LONG
-16.1%
The author predicts an imminent government stimulus in the form of a home buying credit, which would act as a direct cat...
Feb 19
BTC LONG
-4.3%
1. THE FACT: The speaker states that governments will solve large-scale problems with inflationary policies, such as low...
Dec 31
XLP LONG
-3.2%
Crowded hedge fund positioning is causing an unwind in Consumer Staples (seen in call skew), providing a short-term tact...
Mar 05
The author is bearish on the software sector ETF (IGV) due to a technical breakdown, structural problems in private equity software holdings, and unfavorable cost-of-capital dynamics relative to AI.
IGV
MED
Apr 11, 15:46
The author is explicitly bullish on the autonomous defense sector due to a massive projected budget increase, framing it as a national security imperative and long-term macro theme.
ITA
HIGH
Apr 09, 21:37
The author endorses a stagflation narrative where record debt and forced rate cuts will make real assets like gold perform well.
GLD
MED
Apr 07, 01:52
The author argues the Chinese market is structurally less innovative and dynamic than the US due to policy that prioritizes risk-aversion for bondholders over growth, implying long-term underperformance for Chinese equities.
FXI
HIGH
Apr 01, 18:54
The author argues that volatility controllers are actively intervening to strengthen the Yen and weaken the US Dollar to manage systemic risk and buy time to resolve geopolitical issues.
USD
JPY
HIGH
Mar 31, 15:16
Short USD/JPY as the 160 level is viewed as a critical risk threshold that could trigger intervention from the Bank of Japan or a market reversal, supported by the quoted call for an emergency hike.
USD
JPY
MED
Mar 27, 15:34
With market expectations for a rate hike collapsing from 90% to 0%, the contrarian opportunity is to go long duration/easing trades after weak hands were shaken out.
TLT
HIGH
Mar 23, 18:17
Oil's inability to rally further on bullish headlines indicates that short-term inflation expectations and energy prices are topping out, presenting a fade opportunity.
USO
MED
Mar 23, 18:17
The author expects the US administration to intervene with unconventional monetary policy to halt or reverse the dollar's rally to avoid breaking private equity, high-yield debt, and housing markets.
UUP
MED
Mar 14, 14:51
Geopolitical conflict is driving up the cost of capital, which poses a threat to long-duration growth assets like the AI/tech sector.
QQQ
MED
Mar 13, 15:37
The observed failure of interventions to suppress market volatility suggests growing systemic instability, warranting a cautious or bearish stance.
SPY
MED
Mar 12, 14:58
The author is warning of a market downturn in the near future, using the correlation between VIX futures and commodity moves as a leading indicator for increased volatility and risk-off sentiment.
SPY
MED
Mar 09, 02:57
Crowded hedge fund positioning is causing an unwind in Consumer Staples (seen in call skew), providing a short-term tactical opportunity to fade the move and buy the sector.
XLP
MED
Mar 05, 17:03