Tulip King
Guest
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 27
$90.82
-6.1%
AI implementation is leading to massive layoffs (like Block's 40% cut) and increased efficiency, which creates a deflationary environment where wages crater and GDP growth slows (despite efficiency). In a deflationary environment, capital becomes more valuable, and the government must lower rates. When rates go down, long-duration bond prices (TLT) go up. Long TLT (calls) as a hedge against AI-induced deflation. The government prints "an unholy amount of money" (UBI) to counter deflation, leading to inflation instead.
AI implementation is leading to massive layoffs (like Block's 40% cut) and increased efficiency, which creates a deflationary environment where wages crater and GDP growth slows (despite efficiency). In a deflationary environment, capital becomes more valuable, and the government must lower rates. When rates go down, long-duration bond prices (TLT) go up. Long TLT (calls) as a hedge against AI-induced deflation. The government prints "an unholy amount of money" (UBI) to counter deflation, leading to inflation instead.
Macro
Short
Feb 23
$64656.02
-0.6%
The author suggests Bitcoin's price is signaling future deflation and tightening global liquidity, implying a bearish outlook for the asset.
The author suggests Bitcoin's price is signaling future deflation and tightening global liquidity, implying a bearish outlook for the asset.
Crypto
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