"I think the oil price is unsustainable, even at $90 it's completely unsustainable... airlines will have no choice but to impose a fuel surcharge... growth plans will closely be affected." Jet fuel accounts for roughly a third of airline operating costs. With oil prices structurally elevated due to the persistent war premium, airlines are forced to pass costs to consumers. This destroys demand, especially in price-sensitive markets, leading to margin compression, grounded planes, and halted capacity growth. AVOID. The airline industry faces severe structural headwinds from elevated energy prices and subsequent demand destruction. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East could cause oil prices to crash, leading to a massive relief rally and margin expansion for the airline sector.