Buzzberg Cup Live
#139 Alpha Score 86.4

Richard Windsor

Founder, Radio Free Mobile
@rhswindsor · tracked since Feb 2026
139
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Alpha Score 86.4
Calls
6
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+15.1%
Calls 6 3 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 4
Best Calls
MU Long +102.9%
INTC Short +18.4%
NVDA Long +9.5%
Worst Calls
2454.TW Long -26.2%
SMH Long -13.2%
IGV Long -0.8%
Most Mentioned
SMH ×2
IGV ×1
NVDA ×1
Recent Calls
IGV Long 2 weeks ago
INTC Short 1 month ago
2454.TW Long 1 month ago
Win Rate 50% Long 5 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 17%
30d 0%
90d 100%
Average Return +15.1% Long Return +14.5% Short Return +18.4%
Average Return
7d -3.2%
30d -10.6%
90d +69.2%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 03
$640.24
-13.2%
Semiconductor sector is a winner.
The semiconductor sector is a clear winner from the AI and Computex momentum, with nothing getting in the way of the chip train.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 03
$93.57
-0.8%
Software sector undervalued, great bargain.
The software sector is undervalued because the market has taken the view that AI will replace software purchases, but this assumption is too extreme. Software stocks are consequently on sale and represent a great bargain.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 03
$4565.00
-26.2%
MediaTek benefits from edge AI.
MediaTek is a winner because its strengths align with running AI efficiently on edge devices, as highlighted by Computex.
AI ASIC
Short
Jun 03
$115.31
+18.4%
Intel is a clear loser.
Intel is a loser because competitors' products outperform on performance per watt and Intel's response is unconvincing.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Feb 26
$415.56
+102.9%
Nvidia beat earnings, but the stock reaction was flat. Windsor notes that memory chips (HBM) are sold out until 2027 (citing Micron and SK Hynix). The market interprets the lack of massive upside guidance as a demand issue, but it is actually a supply constraint. The infrastructure spend is "safe" through 2026. If supply is the bottleneck, the "AI bubble" hasn't popped; it's just physically constrained. LONG. NVDA becomes more defensive as multiples compress while growth remains locked in by supply constraints. Memory providers (MU, SK Hynix) have pricing power. A sudden cut in Hyperscaler Capex for 2027.
Nvidia beat earnings, but the stock reaction was flat. Windsor notes that memory chips (HBM) are sold out until 2027 (citing Micron and SK Hynix). The market interprets the lack of massive upside guidance as a demand issue, but it is actually a supply constraint. The infrastructure spend is "safe" through 2026. If supply is the bottleneck, the "AI bubble" hasn't popped; it's just physically constrained. LONG. NVDA becomes more defensive as multiples compress while growth remains locked in by supply constraints. Memory providers (MU, SK Hynix) have pricing power. A sudden cut in Hyperscaler Capex for 2027.
AI Memory
Long
Feb 26
$184.89
+9.5%
Nvidia beat earnings, but the stock reaction was flat. Windsor notes that memory chips (HBM) are sold out until 2027 (citing Micron and SK Hynix). The market interprets the lack of massive upside guidance as a demand issue, but it is actually a supply constraint. The infrastructure spend is "safe" through 2026. If supply is the bottleneck, the "AI bubble" hasn't popped; it's just physically constrained. LONG. NVDA becomes more defensive as multiples compress while growth remains locked in by supply constraints. Memory providers (MU, SK Hynix) have pricing power. A sudden cut in Hyperscaler Capex for 2027.
Nvidia beat earnings, but the stock reaction was flat. Windsor notes that memory chips (HBM) are sold out until 2027 (citing Micron and SK Hynix). The market interprets the lack of massive upside guidance as a demand issue, but it is actually a supply constraint. The infrastructure spend is "safe" through 2026. If supply is the bottleneck, the "AI bubble" hasn't popped; it's just physically constrained. LONG. NVDA becomes more defensive as multiples compress while growth remains locked in by supply constraints. Memory providers (MU, SK Hynix) have pricing power. A sudden cut in Hyperscaler Capex for 2027.
AI Compute
Showing 6 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

Richard Windsor has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #139 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SMH, IGV, NVDA.