Peter L. Brandt 5.0 46 ideas
Commodity trader / author
Total Picks
30
Avg Return
—
Avg Long
—
Avg Short
—
Best
—
—
Worst
—
—
Winrate (avg)
44%
Long / Short
22 / 8
Themes
MACRO
11
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ENERGY
4
—
CRYPTO
4
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AI/SEMI
3
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OTHER
3
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CONSUMER
3
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FINTECH
2
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| Ticker | Mentions | Stance | Conv | Entry | P&L YTD | Theme | Thesis (click to expand) | Mentioned | Src |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | ×1 | LONG | MED | $655.06 | Macro | Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target. | Apr 22 | ||
| NVDA | ×1 | LONG | HIGH | $196.12 | AI/Semi | Buy NVDA as an 8-month head and shoulders top pattern has failed, creating a bear trap that projects an upside target around 236. | Apr 15 | ||
| ADANIPOWER.BO | ×1 | LONG | MED | $181.40 | Energy | Buy ADANIPOWER due to exceptionally strong technical chart patterns indicating significant upward momentum. | Apr 13 | ||
| SMH | ×1 | SHORT | MED | $365.50 | AI/Semi | Expects SMH to decline based on measured move chart patterns, targeting specific lower levels. | Mar 30 | ||
| GLD | ×1 | SHORT | MED | $413.38 | Macro | Gold is forming a bearish rising wedge retest of its top, a technical setup that historically preceded the massive market crashes of 1929 and 2000. | Mar 23 | ||
| EWJ | ×1 | SHORT | MED | $82.36 | Macro | The Japanese Nikkei index is showing signs of a major top and is likely to decline, based on the provided chart pattern. | Mar 20 | ||
| SPY | ×1 | SHORT | HIGH | $646.42 | Macro | The author is calling a major market top based on a classic head and shoulders technical pattern shown in the chart, implying significant downside is ahead. | Mar 20 | ||
| PPLT | ×1 | SHORT | MED | $176.33 | Other | Platinum has entered a technically defined intermediate bear market, and historical precedent for such trends suggests a high probability of significant further downside. | Mar 19 | ||
| BNO | ×2 | LONG | HIGH | $52.23 | Energy | The author expects Brent crude oil to rise significantly to a target of $141, based on technical chart analysis and Europe's geopolitical stance on Iran. | Mar 18 | ||
| ETH | ×1 | LONG | MED | $2279.40 | Crypto | The author identifies a potential bottom in Ethereum based on a technical chart pattern forming at a significant historical support level, implying a reversal to the upside. | Mar 16 | ||
| BTC | ×2 | SHORT | MED | $72573.50 | Crypto | Bitcoin is completing a bearish classical charting pattern known as a "Horn Top," which suggests an imminent price breakdown. | Mar 15 | ||
| TLT | ×1 | LONG | MED | $86.99 | Macro | The author highlights a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern on the 30-Year Bond futures chart, implying a potential trend reversal and higher prices ahead. | Mar 12 | ||
| URA | ×1 | LONG | MED | $48.78 | Energy | The author expresses a clear, long-term bullish view on nuclear energy as a superior technology for the future. | Mar 06 | ||
| SHY | ×1 | LONG | MED | $82.73 | Macro | The author expects short-term interest rates to decline by year-end, which would lead to an appreciation in the price of short-duration Treasury bonds. | Mar 06 | ||
| DBA | ×1 | LONG | MED | $26.41 | Other | Agricultural commodities are expected to appreciate in value, following the bullish price action already seen in the livestock market. | Mar 05 | ||
| UUP | ×2 | LONG | MED | $27.46 | Macro | The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength. | Mar 03 | ||
| USO | ×6 | LONG | MED | $90.20 | Energy | A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years. | Mar 03 | ||
| PBJ | ×1 | LONG | HIGH | $50.97 | Consumer | The author identifies a bullish technical pattern (continuation inverted head & shoulders) and projects upside targets of 58.7 and 68. | Feb 27 | ||
| EWG | ×1 | LONG | HIGH | $44.32 | Macro | The German DAX index ($DAX) is forming a highly reliable bullish technical pattern, suggesting a profitable long trade is imminent. | Feb 22 | ||
| GLD | ×3 | LONG | HIGH | $468.70 | Macro | The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable. | Feb 20 | ||
| CME | ×1 | LONG | MED | $303.07 | Fintech | The author identifies a historically reliable bullish technical pattern on the CME chart, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend is probable. | Feb 13 | ||
| BTC | ×8 | LONG | — | $92183.00 | Crypto | 1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt believes BTC is going to 58k to $62k. 2. THE BRIDGE: This provides a specific price target for a potential long position. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BTC with a target of $58k-$62k. | Jan 19 | ||
| AAPL | ×1 | SHORT | HIGH | $258.01 | Consumer | 1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt states "Look out below" and provides a "First target from H&S top is 247, then lower" for $AAPL. 2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bearish technical setup (Head & Shoulders top) with specific price targets. 3. THE VERDICT: Short Apple (AAPL) with an initial target of $247 and further downside. | Jan 14 | ||
| XMR | ×1 | LONG | — | $671.74 | Crypto | 1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt bought some XMR because of a chart (not provided). 2. THE BRIDGE: This is a direct trade action taken by the speaker. 3. THE VERDICT: Long Monero (XMR) based on an undisclosed chart. | Jan 13 | ||
| BIDU | ×1 | LONG | — | $151.62 | AI/Semi | 1. THE FACT: "This is a stock I really like $BIDU." 2. THE BRIDGE: A direct expression of bullish sentiment and preference for the stock. 3. THE VERDICT: Bullish on BIDU. | Jan 12 | ||
| IYM | ×1 | LONG | — | $166.21 | Other | 1. THE FACT: The U.S. basic materials ETF (IYM) is cited as "exhibit A" for why longer-term interest rates in the U.S. are heading higher, due to inflation being "deeply embedded into U.S. economy." 2. THE BRIDGE: Strong performance or outlook for basic materials suggests underlying inflationary pressures, which in turn supports the thesis of rising longer-term interest rates. This implies a positive outlook for IYM itself, or at least that it's a leading indicator for inflation/rates. 3. THE VERDICT: Long basic materials (IYM) as a play on embedded inflation and rising longer-term interest rates. | Jan 12 | ||
| TLT | ×1 | SHORT | HIGH | $87.31 | Macro | 1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve. 2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates). 3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates. | Jan 12 | ||
| SCHA | ×1 | LONG | — | $30.11 | Macro | 1. THE FACT: "This is an etf that I own $SCHA. The Russell futures are my play as a leveraged trade." 2. THE BRIDGE: Brandt explicitly states he owns SCHA (Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF) and uses Russell futures as a leveraged play, indicating a bullish stance on small-cap stocks. 3. THE VERDICT: Long SCHA and Russell futures, indicating a bullish view on small-cap stocks. | Jan 09 | ||
| BCH | ×2 | LONG | — | $651.01 | Fintech | 1. THE FACT: $BCH is leading the charge. 2. THE BRIDGE: "Leading the charge" implies strong momentum and potential for continued upward movement, possibly indicating it's an early mover in a broader market trend or a strong performer in its own right. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BCH due to its strong performance and leadership. | Jan 05 | ||
| BABA | ×2 | LONG | — | $156.26 | Consumer | 1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge. 2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline. 3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern. | Jan 05 |