Peter L. Brandt 5.0 46 ideas
Commodity trader / author
Invesco QQQ Trust
Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target.
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LONG
MED
NVIDIA Corporation
Buy NVDA as an 8-month head and shoulders top pattern has failed, creating a bear trap that projects an upside target around 236.
—
LONG
HIGH
Adani Power Limited
Buy ADANIPOWER due to exceptionally strong technical chart patterns indicating significant upward momentum.
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LONG
MED
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Expects SMH to decline based on measured move chart patterns, targeting specific lower levels.
—
SHORT
MED
SPDR Gold Shares
Gold is forming a bearish rising wedge retest of its top, a technical setup that historically preceded the massive market crashes of 1929 and 2000.
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SHORT
MED
iShares MSCI Japan ETF
The Japanese Nikkei index is showing signs of a major top and is likely to decline, based on the provided chart pattern.
—
SHORT
MED
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
The author is calling a major market top based on a classic head and shoulders technical pattern shown in the chart, implying significant downside is ahead.
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SHORT
HIGH
Aberdeen Standard Physical Platinum Shares ETF
Platinum has entered a technically defined intermediate bear market, and historical precedent for such trends suggests a high probability of significant further downside.
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SHORT
MED
United States Brent Oil Fund, LP
The author expects Brent crude oil to rise significantly to a target of $141, based on technical chart analysis and Europe's geopolitical stance on Iran.
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LONG
HIGH
Ethereum
The author identifies a potential bottom in Ethereum based on a technical chart pattern forming at a significant historical support level, implying a reversal to the upside.
—
LONG
MED
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is completing a bearish classical charting pattern known as a "Horn Top," which suggests an imminent price breakdown.
—
SHORT
MED
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
The author highlights a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern on the 30-Year Bond futures chart, implying a potential trend reversal and higher prices ahead.
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LONG
MED
Global X Uranium ETF
The author expresses a clear, long-term bullish view on nuclear energy as a superior technology for the future.
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LONG
MED
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
The author expects short-term interest rates to decline by year-end, which would lead to an appreciation in the price of short-duration Treasury bonds.
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LONG
MED
Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
Agricultural commodities are expected to appreciate in value, following the bullish price action already seen in the livestock market.
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LONG
MED
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
The author is signaling a strong bullish conviction on the US Dollar, likely based on a technical chart pattern indicating continued strength.
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LONG
MED
United States Oil Fund
A long position on crude oil is warranted as prices are at the mid-point of a 20-year range, with a potential target of $150 within the next couple of years.
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LONG
MED
Invesco Dynamic Food & Beverage ETF
The author identifies a bullish technical pattern (continuation inverted head & shoulders) and projects upside targets of 58.7 and 68.
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LONG
HIGH
iShares MSCI Germany ETF
The German DAX index ($DAX) is forming a highly reliable bullish technical pattern, suggesting a profitable long trade is imminent.
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LONG
HIGH
SPDR Gold Shares
The new all-time high weekly close for Gold is a significant technical breakout, suggesting the uptrend will continue and that short positions are vulnerable.
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LONG
HIGH
CME Group Inc.
The author identifies a historically reliable bullish technical pattern on the CME chart, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend is probable.
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LONG
MED
Bitcoin
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt believes BTC is going to 58k to $62k.
2. THE BRIDGE: This provides a specific price target for a potential long position.
3. THE VERDICT: Long BTC with a target of $58k-$62k.
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LONG
Apple Inc.
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt states "Look out below" and provides a "First target from H&S top is 247, then lower" for $AAPL.
2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a bearish technical setup (Head & Shoulders top) with specific price targets.
3. THE VERDICT: Short Apple (AAPL) with an initial target of $247 and further downside.
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SHORT
HIGH
Monero
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt bought some XMR because of a chart (not provided).
2. THE BRIDGE: This is a direct trade action taken by the speaker.
3. THE VERDICT: Long Monero (XMR) based on an undisclosed chart.
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LONG
Baidu, Inc.
1. THE FACT: "This is a stock I really like $BIDU."
2. THE BRIDGE: A direct expression of bullish sentiment and preference for the stock.
3. THE VERDICT: Bullish on BIDU.
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LONG
iShares U.S. Basic Materials ETF
1. THE FACT: The U.S. basic materials ETF (IYM) is cited as "exhibit A" for why longer-term interest rates in the U.S. are heading higher, due to inflation being "deeply embedded into U.S. economy."
2. THE BRIDGE: Strong performance or outlook for basic materials suggests underlying inflationary pressures, which in turn supports the thesis of rising longer-term interest rates. This implies a positive outlook for IYM itself, or at least that it's a leading indicator for inflation/rates.
3. THE VERDICT: Long basic materials (IYM) as a play on embedded inflation and rising longer-term interest rates.
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LONG
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
1. THE FACT: Most U.S. speculators are betting on either lower or unchanged rates ahead. The speaker is willing to take the other side of that bet, staking money on higher rates, especially on the long side of the yield curve.
2. THE BRIDGE: A contrarian view against the majority of speculators, betting on higher long-term interest rates. This implies a short position in long-term bonds (ZB_F) or a long position in instruments that benefit from rising rates (e.g., short TLT, or direct long on rates).
3. THE VERDICT: Contrarian long position on higher long-term U.S. interest rates.
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SHORT
HIGH
Schwab U.S Small- Cap ETF
1. THE FACT: "This is an etf that I own $SCHA. The Russell futures are my play as a leveraged trade."
2. THE BRIDGE: Brandt explicitly states he owns SCHA (Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF) and uses Russell futures as a leveraged play, indicating a bullish stance on small-cap stocks.
3. THE VERDICT: Long SCHA and Russell futures, indicating a bullish view on small-cap stocks.
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LONG
Banco de ChileAmerican Depositary Shares (Each representing 200 shares of Common Stock)
1. THE FACT: $BCH is leading the charge.
2. THE BRIDGE: "Leading the charge" implies strong momentum and potential for continued upward movement, possibly indicating it's an early mover in a broader market trend or a strong performer in its own right.
3. THE VERDICT: Long BCH due to its strong performance and leadership.
—
LONG
Alibaba Group Holding
1. THE FACT: $BABA is set for a breakout from a falling wedge.
2. THE BRIDGE: A falling wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern, suggesting potential for an upward price movement after a period of decline.
3. THE VERDICT: Long BABA based on a bullish chart pattern.
—
LONG
Best and worst 30-day returns
Price change 30 days after entry. Extreme outliers excluded.
Best calls
SILVER LONG
+60.0%
1. THE FACT: The USD regime remains stable within the orbit of global currency units. The fault in the system is against...
Dec 29
USO LONG
+52.9%
A technical chart pattern suggests a significant upward move is imminent for the oil ETF $USO.
Mar 03
PSLV LONG
+34.4%
1. THE FACT: If we were to think "log" scale, then the move in Silver is in its infancy. PSLV is my choice.
2. THE BRIDG...
Dec 26
Worst calls
XMR LONG
-49.8%
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt bought some XMR because of a chart (not provided).
2. THE BRIDGE: This is a direct trade actio...
Jan 13
BTC LONG
-27.9%
1. THE FACT: Peter Brandt believes BTC is going to 58k to $62k.
2. THE BRIDGE: This provides a specific price target for...
Jan 19
SILVER LONG
-20.7%
The author implies that the COMEX trading shutdown in silver is a critical failure that could lead to a force majeure on...
Feb 25
Long grain futures as the ongoing bull market in U.S. grain prices continues, with corn, soybeans, and rapeseed all positioned to benefit.
$ZC_F
$RS_F
$ZS_F
MED
Apr 27, 22:15
Commodity trader / author
Buy QQQ because a rare second V-extended bottom pattern in the Nasdaq within one year signals a bullish reversal, with a defined initial price target.
QQQ
HIGH
Apr 22, 22:53
Buy NVDA as an 8-month head and shoulders top pattern has failed, creating a bear trap that projects an upside target around 236.
NVDA
HIGH
Apr 15, 11:21
Buy ADANIPOWER due to exceptionally strong technical chart patterns indicating significant upward momentum.
ADANIPOWER.BO
MED
Apr 13, 12:26
Expects SMH to decline based on measured move chart patterns, targeting specific lower levels.
SMH
HIGH
Mar 30, 17:07
Gold is forming a bearish rising wedge retest of its top, a technical setup that historically preceded the massive market crashes of 1929 and 2000.
GLD
HIGH
Mar 23, 03:13
The Japanese Nikkei index is showing signs of a major top and is likely to decline, based on the provided chart pattern.
EWJ
MED
Mar 20, 21:57
The author is calling a major market top based on a classic head and shoulders technical pattern shown in the chart, implying significant downside is ahead.
SPY
HIGH
Mar 20, 20:01
Platinum has entered a technically defined intermediate bear market, and historical precedent for such trends suggests a high probability of significant further downside.
PPLT
HIGH
Mar 19, 12:02
The author expects Brent crude oil to rise significantly to a target of $141, based on technical chart analysis and Europe's geopolitical stance on Iran.
BNO
HIGH
Mar 18, 20:22
The author identifies a potential bottom in Ethereum based on a technical chart pattern forming at a significant historical support level, implying a reversal to the upside.
ETH
MED
Mar 16, 13:25
Bitcoin is completing a bearish classical charting pattern known as a "Horn Top," which suggests an imminent price breakdown.
BTC
MED
Mar 15, 23:26
The author highlights a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern on the 30-Year Bond futures chart, implying a potential trend reversal and higher prices ahead.
TLT
MED
Mar 12, 22:44