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September weakness tends to occur in years when the market is already down; with the market up 10% and most sectors positive year to date, September is not necessarily as scary and most sectors actually trade positive in September in that setup.
Ford's numbers are big and serve as a good indication of overall US economic strength, reinforcing the broadening out trade where other sectors are performing well.
Seagate reported phenomenal numbers with guidance raised above the prior high end, its commercial business is doing great, and the stock reacted positively to earnings unlike other chip names. This indicates economic strength and supports the broadening out trade.
The Nasdaq's 11-day streak reflects market optimism that we are seeing a resolution to concerns; the underlying economy is strong with high bank loan growth, low unemployment, and positive Beige Book reports, so the market is looking past the short-term energy shock disruptions which, if they last only one month, are not a problem, but if they last three months could become an issue.
Semiconductors are a leading indicator hitting new highs.
Semiconductors, represented by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), are the leading indicator of the digital economy; they are hitting new highs and showing relative strength versus the S&P 500, making them a critical area to watch for future market direction.
Consumer discretionary set for positive surprises.
The consumer discretionary sector has seen negative sentiment heading into earnings season, which sets a low bar, and could therefore see positive surprises as companies report.
"Margin guidance [for Cisco] was weaker than expected. And the culprit there is memory... It's been great for SanDisk. It's been great for Western Digital." One company's expense is another company's revenue. If Cisco is complaining about high memory costs crushing their margins, that explicitly means memory producers (Micron, Western Digital) are exercising pricing power and expanding their margins. Long the commodity producers (Memory) who have pricing leverage. Cyclical downturn in semiconductor demand or oversupply in late 2025.
"Margin guidance [for Cisco] was weaker than expected. And the culprit there is memory... It's been great for SanDisk. It's been great for Western Digital." One company's expense is another company's revenue. If Cisco is complaining about high memory costs crushing their margins, that explicitly means memory producers (Micron, Western Digital) are exercising pricing power and expanding their margins. Long the commodity producers (Memory) who have pricing leverage. Cyclical downturn in semiconductor demand or oversupply in late 2025.
"Margin guidance [for Cisco] was weaker than expected. And the culprit there is memory... It's been great for SanDisk. It's been great for Western Digital." One company's expense is another company's revenue. If Cisco is complaining about high memory costs crushing their margins, that explicitly means memory producers (Micron, Western Digital) are exercising pricing power and expanding their margins. Long the commodity producers (Memory) who have pricing leverage. Cyclical downturn in semiconductor demand or oversupply in late 2025.
"Margin guidance [for Cisco] was weaker than expected. And the culprit there is memory... It's been great for SanDisk. It's been great for Western Digital." One company's expense is another company's revenue. If Cisco is complaining about high memory costs crushing their margins, that explicitly means memory producers (Micron, Western Digital) are exercising pricing power and expanding their margins. Long the commodity producers (Memory) who have pricing leverage. Cyclical downturn in semiconductor demand or oversupply in late 2025.
Paul Hickey has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #86 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, QQQ, MU.