Paisley Nardini

Managing Director and Portfolio Manager, Simplify
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls 4 3 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 4
Best Calls
IXUS long +4.8%
TLT long +0.5%
Worst Calls
DBC long -8.2%
Most Mentioned
TLT ×2
IEF ×1
DBC ×1
Recent Calls
IEF long 1 month ago
TLT long 1 month ago
DBC long 1 month ago
Win Rate 67% Long 4 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 25%
30d 25%
90d
Average Return -0.7% Long Return -0.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +0.3%
30d +0.3%
90d
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 27
$86.28
+0.5%
Add duration to hedge falling rates.
Adding duration (long-term bonds) is attractive now because the market is underpricing the risk of falling rates; the 10-year yield near 4.3-4.5% is a technical level to add duration as a hedge or a new risk position.
Macro
Long
May 12
$94.36
+0.0%
Add duration around 4.5% 10-year yield
The 10-year Treasury yield around 4.5% is an attractive level to add duration because rates are likely to move lower over the next six months. The bond market has been range-bound, and the current yield offers an asymmetric payoff profile. Inflation is sticky but largely driven by temporary oil and gas spikes, and the equity-bond correlation is negative, making duration a diversifier rather than a pure hedge.
Macro
Long
Apr 27
$30.09
-8.2%
Commodities hedge sticky inflation.
Commodities and hard assets are underrepresented in portfolios and can better weather sticky inflation, making them a good diversifier in a higher-for-longer environment.
Other
Long
Apr 27
$92.55
+4.8%
International assets benefit from weaker dollar.
As Middle East geopolitical risks resolve, the dollar is likely to weaken, which will benefit international assets outside the US. This is a trade she is actively looking at for diversification.
Macro
Showing 4 of 4 picks · sorted by mentions

Paisley Nardini has 4 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 4 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: TLT, IEF, DBC.