Paisley Nardini

Managing Director and Portfolio Manager, Simplify
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls
4
Win Rate
25.0%
return
-1.5%
Calls 4 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
IXUS Long +4.5%
Worst Calls
DBC Long -5.4%
TLT Long -3.8%
IEF Long -1.2%
Most Mentioned
TLT ×2
IEF ×1
DBC ×1
Recent Calls
IEF Long 2 months ago
TLT Long 3 months ago
DBC Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 25% Long 4 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 25%
30d 25%
90d 33%
Average Return -1.5% Long Return -1.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +0.3%
30d +0.3%
90d -1.8%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 27
$86.28
-3.8%
Add duration to hedge falling rates.
Adding duration (long-term bonds) is attractive now because the market is underpricing the risk of falling rates; the 10-year yield near 4.3-4.5% is a technical level to add duration as a hedge or a new risk position.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 12
$94.36
-1.2%
Add duration around 4.5% 10-year yield
The 10-year Treasury yield around 4.5% is an attractive level to add duration because rates are likely to move lower over the next six months. The bond market has been range-bound, and the current yield offers an asymmetric payoff profile. Inflation is sticky but largely driven by temporary oil and gas spikes, and the equity-bond correlation is negative, making duration a diversifier rather than a pure hedge.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Apr 27
$30.09
-5.4%
Commodities hedge sticky inflation.
Commodities and hard assets are underrepresented in portfolios and can better weather sticky inflation, making them a good diversifier in a higher-for-longer environment.
Commodities
Long
Apr 27
$92.55
+4.5%
International assets benefit from weaker dollar.
As Middle East geopolitical risks resolve, the dollar is likely to weaken, which will benefit international assets outside the US. This is a trade she is actively looking at for diversification.
Equity Indexes
Showing 4 of 4 calls · sorted by mentions

Paisley Nardini has 4 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 4 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: TLT, IEF, DBC.