Calls
3
Noel Dixon
Macro Strategist, State Street Global Markets
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+14.9%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 15
$450.86
+27.3%
The U.S. market will be more insulated from higher commodity prices and geopolitical uncertainty, and selective opportunities will persist, particularly in technology and semiconductors, due to the ongoing race with China and significant demand for AI hardware.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 15
$697.03
+10.9%
The U.S. is the most prepared economy to deal with an oil price spike, having shifted from importer to exporter. Higher energy prices benefit U.S. energy sector earnings, and fiscal stimulus (the 'Big Beautiful Bill') offsets consumer pain. Inflation expectations remain anchored, supporting U.S. equities.
Equity Indexes
Short
Mar 05
$88.79
+6.5%
Dixon states that risk is piling up, 3-month annualized inflation is leaning toward 3%, and an energy shock is now in play. The transmission mechanism from energy to goods prices is fast. This leads to "re-accelerating inflation" which forces yields higher and bond prices lower. Short the long end of the curve (via TLT or TBT) as the market prices in a "higher for longer" reality due to sticky inflation and energy shocks. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East causes oil to plummet, rallying bonds.
Dixon states that risk is piling up, 3-month annualized inflation is leaning toward 3%, and an energy shock is now in play. The transmission mechanism from energy to goods prices is fast. This leads to "re-accelerating inflation" which forces yields higher and bond prices lower. Short the long end of the curve (via TLT or TBT) as the market prices in a "higher for longer" reality due to sticky inflation and energy shocks. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East causes oil to plummet, rallying bonds.
Bonds & Rates
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Noel Dixon has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: SPY, SMH, TLT.
