Matt Cerminaro
Data Research Associate
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 02
$416.88
-7.6%
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) is a relative outperformers in software, breaking out on a weekly chart with a very bullish candlestick. It is an orderly breakout and looks phenomenal. Buy a stock already going up.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 09
$91.46
+0.0%
The speaker presented a chart showing that in a scenario where interest rates rise 300 basis points, the price of a 3-month T-bill would only fall 0.08%, compared to a 10-year Treasury bond falling ~20%. For the "safe" anchor portion of a portfolio, especially for someone near retirement, avoiding duration risk is paramount. Short-term Treasuries provide yield with minimal interest rate sensitivity. LONG on 3-month T-bills as the preferred instrument for the low-risk sleeve of a portfolio because they effectively serve as ballast with negligible price volatility in a rising rate environment. A prolonged period of rapidly declining interest rates, where longer-duration bonds would significantly outperform.
The speaker presented a chart showing that in a scenario where interest rates rise 300 basis points, the price of a 3-month T-bill would only fall 0.08%, compared to a 10-year Treasury bond falling ~20%. For the "safe" anchor portion of a portfolio, especially for someone near retirement, avoiding duration risk is paramount. Short-term Treasuries provide yield with minimal interest rate sensitivity. LONG on 3-month T-bills as the preferred instrument for the low-risk sleeve of a portfolio because they effectively serve as ballast with negligible price volatility in a rising rate environment. A prolonged period of rapidly declining interest rates, where longer-duration bonds would significantly outperform.
Macro
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Matt Cerminaro has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: CDNS, BIL.